O/A Rank Top-10 QB's
2 Marcus Mariota
6 Jameis Winston
23 Brett Hundley
28 Connor Cook
49 Dak Prescott
59 Kevin Hogan
125 Shane Carden
132 Bryce Petty
141 Sean Mannion
162 Gunner Kiel
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Drafttek Position Rankings

NFL 2015 Mock Draft Round 1
Selections 1-16

Drafttek.com uses a computer model to simulate a 7-round 2015 NFL Mock Draft. Each team has an analyst who supplies data on 2015 NFL Draft team needs. The team needs are matched up against a ranked list of draft prospects(aka "Big Board") in order to generate each selection in our 2015 NFL Mock Draft.



December 17, 2014
2015 Mock Draft: Now 4 Rounds!

Heading into the Christmas week, the top draft pick is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' to lose. Their week 16 game has the Bucs hosting Green Bay. The final week of the regular season has the division rival New Orleans Saints coming into Raymomd James stadium. If the Bucs are going to win a game (and lose the #1 draft pick), the Saints appear to present the best opportunity. However New Orleans is still in the playoff picture, and will not be sitting regulars to get a better look at second-teamers.

If any game will have an effect on draft order, it's this Thursday's tilt between two 2-win teams. The winner of Tennessee-Jacksonville will not do themselves any favors on draft day. If the Titans win, their chances of selecting one of the top-2 QB prospects will be reduced. If the Jaguars win, they may lose out on top BPA's Amari Cooper and Leonard Williams.

An up-to-date draft selection order can be found here: 2015 NFL Draft Selection Order


1 Tampa Bay
Marcus Mariota
    Oregon
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
211
Alternate Pick #1
Leonard Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Jameis Winston
The Bucs have two home games remaining to cement the number one pick in the draft. Green Bay looks like a stretch, but week 17 foe New Orleans has not been playing well. At this point all signs point to Oregon QB and Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota. I am not sure how I will manage to prepare comments and analysis with a fresh perspective for the next 20 weeks knowing that the Drafttek DRAFTSIM model will continually dial up Mariota, but I will cross those bridges as they come. There is some concern that Mariota's success with the spread offense at Oregon will not translate to the NFL. Barring a win in the next two weeks, we'll be reviewing his potential for NFL suitability over the next few months. For now, here's a pro view, and here's a con.
2 Tennessee
Jameis Winston
    Florida St
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
228
Alternate Pick #1
Amari Cooper
Alternate Pick #2
Vic Beasley
The Titans are in a tough situation as they head into the offseason. Obviously, Jake Locker will not be with the team next season, but did Zach Mettenberger show enough promise to warrant Tennessee moving forward with him as their quarterback? Obviously, Mettenberger has great arm strength, but has flaws in his decision-making and accuracy, especially under pressure, when he only completes around 50 percent of his passes. Injuries certainly have not helped, either. It's too early to figure out their thought process, and Winston is not the model character that many would like as a face of a franchise, but he is very talented. Winston has natural arm strength, mobility, and has shown the ability to consistently "throw receivers open".
3 Jacksonville
Leonard Williams
    USC
    DE43
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
290
Alternate Pick #1
Randy Gregory
Alternate Pick #2
Shane Ray
This franchise continues to be the poster-child for the perennial bottom dweller of the NFL. Outside of the front-7 on the defense there isn't much Jag Fans can feel good about. The defense has played well enough to win ball games however the offense has been down right pitiful. Presently ranked dead last in most statistical categories, this offense continues to be a under a rebuild. With no offensive players warranting a selection this high the Jags must defer to the BPA, and USC's stud D-lineman Leonard Williams fits the bill. Some draft analysts say he's the best player in the draft, pairing him with the dominant Sen'Derrick Marks would form a formidable duo.
4 Oakland
Randy Gregory
    Nebraska
    DE43
    Reach/Value:     -3
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
255
Alternate Pick #1
Amari Cooper
Alternate Pick #2
Brandon Scherff
Oakland's paltry 19 sacks rank 30th in the league, and Randy Gregory provides the most intriguing answer to alleviate the team's woes off the edge. No Raider has accumulated more than three sacks, and one has to expect that the talented Cornhusker could not only surpass that output, but also enhance the ability of Khalil Mack and Sio Moore to get to the quarterback. That said, the Silver & Black will almost certainly have a new HC and possibly a new GM, so the various avenues this franchise full of holes could go are many. Amari Cooper, who would immediately the best receiver on the roster, and Leonard Williams, who (if he's available) represents a significant upgrade inside or outside, certainly top the list of other potential Raider targets.
5 Washington
Vic Beasley
    Clemson
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
235
Alternate Pick #1
Landon Collins
Alternate Pick #2
Brandon Scherff
The Redskins' biggest needs are threefold: (1) The offensive line, where they have given up 53 sacks (second only to JAC); (2) Pass rush, where they have created a middling 33 sacks; and (3) Defensive secondary, where the Redskins have graded out at a whopping -65 in coverage according to Profootballfocus.com, easily the worst in the league. At the top of the draft, the Redskins will have a good player at each of these positions waiting for them in a strong draft class. With all options open, and perhaps even a chance at top WR Amari Cooper, coaches will have to decide which weakness is the most glaring and is the most reflective of their current personnel, and address it. Here, the Redskins add Vic Beasley to a pass rush that struggles to get sacks without blitzing.
6 NY Jets
Amari Cooper
    Alabama
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     +3
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
205
Alternate Pick #1
Brandon Scherff
Alternate Pick #2
Cedric Ogbuehi
Last year, in what was probably the most stacked draft class of WR's in recent memory, the Jets totally whiffed, missing out on some game-changing talent in the early rounds. Well not this time.Heisman finalist Amari Cooper is staring us in the face, so it's time to pull the trigger. The Jets rank dead last in passing yards, throwing for less than 170 YPG. Despite missing some playing time with hamstring issues, Eric Decker has 62 catches so far this season, ranking him 26th in the league. Jeremy Kerley signed a new contract extension but the big question mark going into the offseason will be Percy Harvin. Do the Jets keep him, give up a 4th round pick, and pay him $10.5M, or do they let him walk? Regardless of the answer, Cooper will be an excellent addition.
7 Atlanta
Dante Fowler Jr
    Florida
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
261
Alternate Pick #1
Shane Ray
Alternate Pick #2
Brandon Scherff
Yes, Atlanta runs a 4-2-5 hybrid alignment, shifting into 3-man fronts from time to time but the lack of pressure is atrocious. ProFootballFocus gives the Falcon defense an overall grade of -78.3, a majority of that coming from lack of pass coverage (-57.2) due to lack of pass rush (-22.8). Kroy Bierman, Osi Umenyiora, & Cliff Matthews are all F/A in 2015. Dante Fowler is a hybrid tweener who can provide exterior pressure in either alignment.
8 NY Giants
Brandon Scherff
    Iowa
    ROT
    Reach/Value:     +4
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
315
Alternate Pick #1
Cedric Ogbuehi
Alternate Pick #2
Landon Collins
The Giants run game struggled in 2013 so the Giants responded by signing free agent Rashad Jennings and drafting former BC running back Andre Williams to improve it. They also added Geoff Schwartz and drafted Weston Richburg, but Schwartz has missed most of the year due to injury and Richburg's play has been uneven. Unfortunately, 2nd year player Justin Pugh has also taken a step back (6 quarterback sacks given up this year in 12 games, 5 in 16 games last year) which brings into questoin his ability to be a franchise RT If the Giants draft Scherff he can play RT, Pugh can move to LG and the Giants would have a much improved line on paper. Beatty, Pugh, Richburg, Schwartz, and Scherff. Maybe then the Giants offense could fully realize it's potential.



9 New Orleans
Shawn Oakman
    Baylor
    DE34
    Reach/Value:     -6
Height:
6'8"
Weight:
285
Alternate Pick #1
Cedric Ogbuehi
Alternate Pick #2
Shane Ray
Where to begin with the Saints for 2015? Easy - defense. Although the OL needs some tweaking too, it's a complete mess on the defensive side of the ball. Taking a peek at some Saints analytics from the good folks at ProFootballFocus.com, we find that New Orleans has a -37.4 in pass blocking, and a whopping -87 in overall defense. (-30.2 in run defense, 50.1 in pass coverage. . To make matters worse, the Saints have a meager 31 sacks on the season as a defensive unit, and currently rank 31st in the league in total defense, according to nfl.com . Adding an athletic freak with speed would be a big help. Shawn Oakman has lightning speed and a quick first step. Still raw, it will be up the coaching staff to help mold and shape him into a top pass rush threat in a 3-4 base.
10 Chicago
Cedric Ogbuehi
    Texas A&M
    LOT
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
300
Alternate Pick #1
Landon Collins
Alternate Pick #2
Andrus Peat
This is high for Ogbuehi, whose stock has dropped precipitously since his move to RT. While RT has become a problem for the Bears, Pick 10 is a little early to address that need. Once considered a premier LT prospect, TA&M moved the talented but raw Ogbuehi across the line in November - likely a sign that he was struggling to handle his duties at the more-prestiguous left spot. With the utter collapse of the defense this season, future CMD's will reflect their dire need for improvement at Safety or Linebacker.
11 Carolina
Landon Collins
    Alabama
    SS
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
215
Alternate Pick #1
Shane Ray
Alternate Pick #2
Andrus Peat
According to ProfootballFocus.com, the Panthers' weakest link on defense is pass coverage. The Panthers are improving with Bewikere and Norman, but with the aging duo of Roman Harper and Thomas DeCoud ranking as the 55th- and 71st-ranked Safeties in the league respectively, this pick fills a huge need. Landon Collins is a big hitter that took over at SS for Alabama halfway through the 2013 season and was Alabama's best defender at times. He is my top-rated DB in the draft and is one of five DBs to keep an eye on. This season, he's racked up 87 tackles and three INTs. He can be fooled in coverage but will only improve with experience. He'd be a great fit in Carolina where he'd drop down alongside TD and Luke in the Nickel package. ~Erin Ford, @PanthersDrafter
12 Minnesota
Benardrick McKinney
    Mississippi St
    ILB
    Reach/Value:     -2
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
245
Alternate Pick #1
Shane Ray
Alternate Pick #2
Shilique Calhoun
As the Vikings keep winning games, their projected draft slot keeps getting lower and lower. This might be both a blessing and a curse, however... On the downside, it likely puts them out of the running for popular choices right now, like Landon Collins and Amari Cooper, but it also allows them to look at other glaring needs that aren't traditionally addressed in the Top 10. MLB Benardrick McKinney certainly fits that bill. Opinions are mixed on the Miss St product but, the fact is, he is athletic, instinctive, and capable of leading a defense. With Jasper Brinkley turning 30 soon, he isn't the long-term solution. Overall, the run defense has been average, giving up 4.3 YPC through Week 15, so adding an athletic MLB like McKinney should take it to the next level.
13 St Louis
Andrus Peat
    Stanford
    LOT
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
312
Alternate Pick #1
DeVante Parker
Alternate Pick #2
Kevin White
The Rams will head into the offseason with many question marks surrounding the offensive line. Five offensive linemen are eligible for free agency in 2015, including starters Davin Joseph and Joe Barksdale. Jake Long and Scott Wells could become salary cap casualties. Their releases would allow the Rams $11.75 million in much-needed salary cap relief. Depth is perilously thin across the line. It all adds up to the Rams selecting an offensive lineman in the first round of the 2015 NFL Draft. Peat would likely begin his NFL career at RT for the Rams. He possesses many attributes coveted by NFL teams, and will open eyes at the NFL Scouting Combine. Peat is tall (6'7"), athletic, and long-armed.
14 Houston
Brett Hundley
    UCLA
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -9
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
227
Alternate Pick #1
Trae Waynes
Alternate Pick #2
P.J. Williams
Well, Ryan Mallett didn't show much during his short audition . . . and he's a F/A in 2015. Ryan Fitzpatrick is injured and has one more year on his 2-year contract with the Texans . . . and Tom Savage looked like a 3rd-string rookie QB starting his first game against the Colts. Folks, this team needs a QB and the athletic Hundley from UCLA should be a nice candidate for HC O'Brien to groom.
15 Cleveland
Shane Ray
    Missouri
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     +3
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
245
Alternate Pick #1
Trae Waynes
Alternate Pick #2
P.J. Williams
Per NFL.com, the Browns ranked a dismal 25th in total defense in 2013, and they're currently ranked 21st in 2014. Clearly, some changes are in order, and my current take is that the Browns will go defense-heavy in the draft as well as free agency. Enter Shane Ray, who amassed an eye-popping 21 TFLs, and 12.5 sacks per cfbstats.com. The buzz among NFL Scouts is that Ray could be a top-10 pick! I'm going to put a "grab" on this beast, and we'll take a closer look at him in upcoming CMDs.
16 Miami
Trae Waynes
    Michigan St
    CB
    Reach/Value:     +3
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
185
Alternate Pick #1
P.J. Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Devin Funchess
Darqueze Dennard's understudy has made quite a name for himself as a Spartan this season. In fact, Waynes may be picked higher than his mentor (Dennard was the 24th overall pick by the Bengals in 2014 draft). At 6-1, 185 he looks the part. He has recorded 6 INTs in 26 games in East Lansing and has the ability to swing games in his favor. Miami is set to lose five DBs in Free Agency this spring, Cortland Finnegan is flirting with retirement, Brent Grimes is 31 and has a checkered injury history, and Will Davis and Jamar Taylor have shown little in their sophomore seasons. On top of that, only Grimes is seen as a positive contributor at CB by ProFootballFocus.com. (He ranks 30th of 222 qualifying CBs.) Count the defensive backfield among the many needs Miami has.

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Cleveland gets Buffalo 1st round pick (Sammy Watkins)

Forward to Round 1 Picks 17- 32
Forward to Round 2
Forward to Round 2 Picks 49- 64


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Big Ten Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank Big 10 Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
4 Brandon Scherff
Iowa
ROT
7 Randy Gregory
Nebraska
DE43
21 Melvin Gordon
Wisconsin
RBF
25 Devin Funchess
Michigan
TE
35 Carl Davis
Iowa
DE34
75 Stefon Diggs
Maryland
WRF
78 Chi Chi Ariguzo
Northwestern
OLB43
93 Ameer Abdullah
Nebraska
RBC
95 Tevin Coleman
Indiana
RBF
106 Jake Ryan
Michigan
OLB43
122 Tyler Kroft
Rutgers
TE
124 David Cobb
Minnesota
RBF
131 Doran Grant
Ohio State
CB
168 Deion Barnes
Penn State
OLB34
187 Warren Herring
Wisconsin
DT43
190 Ibraheim Campbell
Northwestern
SS
200 Chris Carter
Ohio State
DT34
223 Taiwan Jones
Michigan State
OLB43
224 Frank Clark
Michigan
DE43
237 Tony Lippett
Michigan State
WRF
253 Darius Kilgo
Maryland
DT43
257 Kenny Bell
Nebraska
WRF
265 Rob Havenstein
Wisconsin
ROT
270 Curtis Grant
Ohio State
ILB
273 Sam Arneson
Wisconsin
TE
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