O/A Rank Top-10 QB's
1 Jameis Winston
2 Marcus Mariota
45 Brett Hundley
85 Bryce Petty
127 Garrett Grayson
150 Shane Carden
202 Sean Mannion
249 Connor Halliday
288 Jerry Lovelocke
299 Cody Fajardo
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Drafttek Position Rankings

NFL 2015 Mock Draft Round 1
Selections 1-16

March 4, 2015
2015 Mock Draft #17 (7 Rounds)

Our first (internal) revision of Consensus Mock Draft #17 had QB Marcus Mariota slipping all the way to the second round, and the New York Jets. It seems our analysts representing teams selecting in the 10-32 range never expected Mariota to drop that far. This outcome prompted these would-be GM's to examine whether or not their teams would look Mariota's way if the Oregon quarterback were available when the draft needle pointed their way. Following this soul-searching, a number of team analysts chose to put Mariota on their "grab list" for revision b. Philly was all in, of course. Even Cleveland. Who won the Mariota sweepstakes? You will need to dig into our CMD results (below) to find out!

1 Tampa Bay
Jameis Winston
    Florida St
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
228
Alternate Pick #1
Marcus Mariota
Alternate Pick #2
Dante Fowler Jr
DraftTek mocks are not about who we want our teams to select. It's more about who we think our team WILL select. I personally would feel better on April 30th if GM Jason Licht would pull the lever for Leonard Williams, but after Jameis Winston's Combine performance, all signs are now pointing to him. And I am not one to step in front of a moving train. Winston threw well on the field, his interview was phenomenal, and his football IQ was quite successfully put to the test in this session with Steve Mariucci. To me, it's not just an issue with Winston's timeline of troubling behavior, but also a nagging degradation of performance during his 2014 season.
2 Tennessee
Randy Gregory
    Nebraska
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
255
Alternate Pick #1
Marcus Mariota
Alternate Pick #2
Kevin White
If Tennessee addresses the defensive side of the ball with this pick, they will have to choose between Gregory, Dante Fowler, and Leonard Williams. Williams is a dominant interior lineman, and pairing with Jurrell Casey would be terrifying for offensive lines. However, Ropati Pitoatua was excellent in run defense, according to Pro Football Focus , when he saw the field last year, and fits perfectly as a two-gap lineman in Dick LeBeau's defense across from Casey. Gregory gets the edge over Fowler because of his pure pass rushing ability. He has the flexibility to bend, shows a great first step, and knows how to use his hands when battling offensive linemen, a skill few edge rushers have when entering the league. However, one major concern will be the need to add weight, as he weighed in at the Combine at 235 pounds.
3 Jacksonville
Leonard Williams
    USC
    DE43
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
290
Alternate Pick #1
Dante Fowler Jr
Alternate Pick #2
Brandon Scherff
Some would say that Florida's Dante Fowler Jr. is gaining momentum on this spot. However, barring a trade or Tennessee snagging him with the 2nd pick, Leonard Williams is their man. I believe GM Dave Caldwell would be more than content with this selection. Williams has the versatility to play anywhere along the line and would immediately make an already-good D-line better. Already drawing comparisons to J.J. Watt and Richard Seymour, Williams has the potential of becoming a perennial Pro-Bowler. He would help solidify an area where they were somewhat weak. Jacksonville was tied for 6th in sacks (45) but only 21st in QB hurries (59). Williams has the size and skill set to affect the passer. With Sen'Derrick Marks and Roy Miller both recovering from injuries, Leonard Williams is more than capable of holding down the fort.
4 Oakland
Kevin White
    West Virginia
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
209
Alternate Pick #1
Dante Fowler Jr
Alternate Pick #2
Amari Cooper
Kevin White answered critics with an impressive and unexpected 4.35 forty time. It vaulted the WVU product ahead of Amari Cooper as the draft's top WR prospect and the best bet for Oakland at #4. While FA could change things, the most glaring needs on this needy roster remain pass catchers for franchise cornerstone Derek Carr --who did not have a receiver haul in more than 693 yards-- and pass rushers for the front four of the defense, which mustered only 12 sacks, largely from aging vets. With Leonard Williams off the board here, I believe the decision comes down to White or Cooper with Fowler possibly getting some support in the War Room, as well. Still, despite the fact that the speed-loving Al no longer calls the shots, I'm betting Mark continues the Davis tradition and goes with the bigger, faster White over the accomplished Cooper.
5 Washington
Dante Fowler Jr
    Florida
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     -2
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
261
Alternate Pick #1
Amari Cooper
Alternate Pick #2
Vic Beasley
Dante Fowler Jr. is easily the most well-rounded pass-rusher in this class. He is the heaviest by 20 pounds when compared to the other top five outside rushers, and he carried that weight well at the Combine. The question with Fowler is: is he elite in anything or is he just very good at everything and has a perpetual motor? Because of these questions, he has been compared to both 2014 Redskins OLBs, Brian Orakpo and Ryan Kerrigan. In addition, the Redskins drafted Trent Murphy in 2014; he fared well against the run and improved in rushing the passer, but pass-rushing will never be his specialty. As a result of the Redskins having plenty of good all-around OLBs, the real need in Washington is a pure-pass rusher, and I believe that the only way Dante Fowler Jr. is a Redskin is if Scot McCloughan believes he will be elite.
6 NY Jets
Amari Cooper
    Alabama
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
211
Alternate Pick #1
Vic Beasley
Alternate Pick #2
Brandon Scherff
Amari Cooper had a great Combine. The 'Bama wideout was as good as advertised and wooed scouts from start to finish. His performance at Indy cemented his stock and confirmed what was plain to see on his game tape. Picking Cooper here certainly makes a lot of sense from the Jets' perspective. There is, however, an elephant in the room that we need to take into account in this CMD: the Jets passed on Mariota to take Cooper. For me, this was a very tough call that could have gone either way. There's plenty of merit for picking either player here. There is also the option for the Jets to trade out of the 6th pick, and with both Mariota and Cooper available, it could be a valuable pick. What would you do? Tweet me here with your thoughts.
~Rich Tinley, Jets Analyst
7 Chicago
Danny Shelton
    Washington
    DT34
    Reach/Value:     -6
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
327
Alternate Pick #1
Vic Beasley
Alternate Pick #2
Trae Waynes
With $28M+ to spend in Free Agency this year, and a gaping hole in the middle of the Defensive Line, everyone, from "da fan on da street" to Chicago Tribune writers, is pining after newly minted FA Ndamukong Suh. However, despite his exceptional talent and penchant for the pass rush, he has proven to be better suited as a 4-3 DT - a scheme desitned to go the way of the dodo in Chicago next season. What the Bears need is the prototypical "Big Stinky" to hold things down at the NT spot - and at 6'3, 340, Shelton fits that bill to a tee. As expected, he has the requisite strength to handle himself, but it is his athleticism and hands that separate him from the rest. Vince Wilfork is a legitimate comparison, making Shelton a Day 1 starter.
8 Atlanta
Shane Ray
    Missouri
    DE43
    Reach/Value:     -7
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
245
Alternate Pick #1
Vic Beasley
Alternate Pick #2
Alvin Dupree
Shane Ray was unable to participate fully in the Combine, which seems to have let Dante Fowler jump over him on most draft boards. Ray's best attribute is his explosion off the snap and his speed around the edge . He wasn't able to display that, as he was only able to participate in the bench press (21 reps, slightly better than Fowler's 19, but far below the impressive showing of Vic Beasley at 35). Until Ray gets over his toe injury, he won't be able to display his physical skills. He's rumored to be able to throw down a 4.44 forty-yard dash. Teams will want to see that. But if he's available at #8, the Falcons will gladly take him. He plays with a violent edge, and there is no doubting the numbers he put up at Missouri: 20.5 TFL and 13.5 sacks.



9 NY Giants
DeVante Parker
    Louisville
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -3
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
209
Alternate Pick #1
Shaq Thompson
Alternate Pick #2
Melvin Gordon
Selecting Davante Parker might seem off-base because he is not the biggest priority for the G-men, but Jerry Reese favors playmakers in the draft, and even said at the Combine "if there's a good receiver, guys, we'll draft him". No question Beckham Jr. is a #1 WR, but Victor Cruz is coming off another season-ending injury (3rd time in his short career), and Rueben Randle has been inconsistent and his rookie contract soon expires. Since 2007, Reese has spent a 1/3 of his premium picks on pass-catchers!. The edge rushers don't fit the Giants' defensive system or prototype, and it's unlikely the Giants draft a guard at 9. Receiver is not the likeliest of picks for the Giants at #9, but if there's one they love, guys, they'll take him.
10 St Louis
Brandon Scherff
    Iowa
    LOT
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
319
Alternate Pick #1
T.J. Clemmings
Alternate Pick #2
Marcus Mariota
The Rams' front office will have many decisions to make in the next two weeks in regards to the team's offensive line. Davin Joseph and Joe Barksdale are set to hit Free Agency on March 10. Scott Wells is due a $1M roster bonus on March 12, while $4M of Jake Long's base salary becomes guaranteed on March 14. The Rams could end up parting ways with all four players. Selecting an offensive lineman early in the 2015 NFL Draft addresses the uncertainty and potential for losses. Brandon Scherff was named the Outland Trophy winner as the nation's best lineman and is the top-rated offensive lineman on DraftTek's Big Board. Scherff draws favorable comparisons to Zack Martin, a player the Rams contemplated trading up for in the 2014 NFL Draft. The Rams would start Scherff at guard as a rookie, a position he played at one season with Iowa.
11 Minnesota
Trae Waynes
    Michigan St
    CB
    Reach/Value:     +2
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
185
Alternate Pick #1
Landon Collins
Alternate Pick #2
T.J. Clemmings
At this point in the draft season, there are a number of areas the Vikings can look at here as GM Rick Spielman has a strong track record of drafting for value. CB is certainly near the top of the list, though, when looking at the most likely possibilities in RD1. After Trae Waynes lit up the Combine with a fantastic performance, he solidified his status as the top CB in the draft. Assuming all three of the top Wide Receivers are taken, which was the case in this version of our DRAFTSIM, then Waynes becomes an excellent fallback option. With Xavier Rhodes emerging as one of the best in the business, under Mike Zimmer's tutelage, adding another potential star in Waynes could give the Vikings the preeminent pair of pass defenders in the NFL. I know, you're thinking the same thing I am: This is the Minnesota Vikings we are talking about, right?
12 Cleveland
Vic Beasley
    Clemson
    OLB34
    Reach/Value:     +4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
246
Alternate Pick #1
T.J. Clemmings
Alternate Pick #2
Alvin Dupree
Oh my! Look at who's taken with the next pick! Now, take a nice, deep breath. The ink hasn't dried on Josh McCown's 3-year, $14M Browns contract. I don't see the Browns willingly stepping into another QB controversy here, when the need for plug-n-play starters on the defensive front is the more pressing need. Beasley's outstanding Combine validated what we've seen on film. "Beastley" has the quickness (sub 1.60 10-yard split) and strength (35 reps on the bench) to own the edge. He has the speed (sub-4.60) to hunt any QB from sideline to sideline. Beasley will remind you of Anthony Barr or Justin Houston. In fact, he may even be better.
13 New Orleans
Marcus Mariota
    Oregon
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +11
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
211
Alternate Pick #1
Malcom Brown
Alternate Pick #2
Arik Armstead
Much has been made of the "decline" of Drew Brees over the past two seasons, although much should (and can) be attributed to poor line play, dropped passes, and Drew's internal fire to try and carry the team almost on his own. Brees is still the most accurate passer in the NFL, especially in the short- to medium-range zones, so the sky is definitely not falling at QB . However, the Saints' organization needs to set in motion the prospect of moving into the post-Brees era. Ian Rappaport reported last November that the Saints "are preparing for life after Drew Brees". Should Mariota fall this far on draft day (doubtful given trade-up scenarios), the Saints almost have to pull the trigger. Learning at the next level behind a guy like Drew Brees for a couple years could set up the Saints nicely for the next 10 years.
14 Miami
Melvin Gordon
    Wisconsin
    RBF
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
207
Alternate Pick #1
Malcom Brown
Alternate Pick #2
Dorial Green-Beckham
The attempt to surround Tannehill with more weapons continues in CMD17, this time boosting the ground attack. Pairing Gordon --the Doak Walker Award winner and unanimous 2014 All-American-- with Lamar Miller should take some of the pressure off of Tannehill. Adding the former Badgers star shouldn't be seen as a big indictment on Miller, either. Miller had the best season of his career in 2014 and looks like a respectable back. However, the trend in the NFL continues to favor multi-back systems. Once backfield mate Knowshon Moreno went down, Miami's tailback talent dwindled. The need for another RB is compounded when you consider the fact that Moreno, Daniel Thomas, and LaMichael James are all Free Agents next week. Is a stable of Miller, Damien Williams, and Mike Gillislee enough?
15 San Francisco
Alvin Dupree
    Kentucky
    DE34
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'4
Weight:
267
Alternate Pick #1
Arik Armstead
Alternate Pick #2
Owamagbe Odighizuwa
With a strong Combine showcasing his explosive athleticism (4.56 sec 40 yd dash; 42.0 Vertical; 138.0 Broad Jump), the 6'4, 267 lb. Dupree maintains his position as the 49ers' first round selection at #15. Dupree lines up well as either a DE in a 4-3 or OLB in a 3-4, plays the run well and impacts the game with his length and burst. Dupree displays the versatility today's teams crave. Based on his measurables, Dupree appears to be just scratching his potential. Comparisons to Terrell Suggs and Kamerion Wimbley bode well for the former Kentucky Wildcat. An alternative to Dupree depending on the effects of Free Agency is WRF Jaelen Strong, a big target who would assist immeasurably with QB Colin Kaepernick's development.
16 Houston
Malcom Brown
    Texas
    DT34
    Reach/Value:     -3
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
320
Alternate Pick #1
Jalen Collins
Alternate Pick #2
Dorial Green-Beckham
Overall disruptiveness is not measured only by looking at the stat sheet, especially when scouting DTs double- and triple-teamed all game, every game. But when a DT dominates at a high level, that's special! There are a couple DTs in this draft whose college statistics compare to Reggie White and Warren Sapp. Reggie remains in rarefied air, but the analysis is eye-opening. Malcom Brown dominated from multiple defensive positions in college. Add Malcom's maturity to his skill and you have one of the best value selections in the entire draft. Malcom is the perfect line-mate to pair with JJ for the next ten years. A defense with JJ, Malcom, and Clowney would be downright vicious. He isn't a flashy pick, but this is a smart pick and will provide instant impact for the Texans. ~CME, Texans' Analyst

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Cleveland gets Buffalo 1st round pick (Sammy Watkins)

Forward to Round 1 Picks 17- 32
Forward to Round 2
Forward to Round 2 Picks 49- 64
Forward to Round 3
Forward to Round 4
Forward to Round 5
Forward to Round 6
Forward to Round 7


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Big Ten Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank Big 10 Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
6 Randy Gregory
Nebraska
OLB34
10 Brandon Scherff
Iowa
ROT
18 Melvin Gordon
Wisconsin
RBF
32 Maxx Williams
Minnesota
TE
37 Carl Davis
Iowa
DE34
47 Tevin Coleman
Indiana
RBF
56 Devin Funchess
Michigan
TE
59 Ameer Abdullah
Nebraska
RBC
70 Rob Havenstein
Wisconsin
ROT
134 Ibraheim Campbell
Northwestern
SS
151 Tyler Kroft
Rutgers
TE
169 Stefon Diggs
Maryland
WRF
177 Jake Ryan
Michigan
OLB43
181 David Cobb
Minnesota
RBF
207 Kenny Bell
Nebraska
WRF
228 Louis Trinca-Pasat
Iowa
DT43
230 Devin Gardner
Michigan
WRF
290 Warren Herring
Wisconsin
DT43
298 Ryan Russell
Purdue
DE43
307 Chi Chi Ariguzo
Northwestern
OLB43
318 Frank Clark
Michigan
DE43
322 Yannik Cudjoe-Virgil
Maryland
OLB43
323 Cameron Botticelli
Minnesota
DE34
329 Brandon Vitabile
Northwestern
OC
334 Darius Kilgo
Maryland
DT43
338 Andrew Donnal
Iowa
LOT
348 Deon Long
Maryland
WRF
367 Sam Arneson
Wisconsin
TE
371 Kyle Costigan
Wisconsin
OG
377 Bobby Richardson
Indiana
DE34
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