O/A Rank Top-15 CBs
4 Marlon Humphrey
9 Marshon Lattimore
18 Quincy Wilson
21 Jourdan Lewis
27 Adoree Jackson
30 Gareon Conley
34 Sidney Jones
36 Teez Tabor
66 Desmond King
70 Cordrea Tankersley
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2017 NFL Mock Draft Round 1
Selections 17-32

Consensus Mock Draft #8 | February 22, 2017 1:40 AM EST

17 Washington
Marshon Lattimore
    Ohio St
    CB
    Reach/Value:     +8
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
192
Alternate Pick #1
Quincy Wilson
Alternate Pick #2
Jourdan Lewis

Marshon Lattimore may be the best CB prospect since Patrick Peterson. In fact, I just finished my second round of the Ohio State players' tape study, and I have concluded that Lattimore is lacking in only one respect; experience. Leaving for the NFL after just his redshirt sophomore season, Lattimore came out of nowhere and outshined his teammate, Gareon Conley, who was expected to be an early first-round pick.

I firmly believe that Conley's draft status has suffered in direct relation to Lattimore's rise. Watching Conley's 2015 tape against 2016 tape, you see a player who improved, and who still uses sounds technique along with his tremendous physical traits. It speaks to just how good Lattimore was in 2016, as Conley was targeted such a high rate even though he is a bona fide starting NFL CB prospect.

While the Redskins struggled mightily in the secondary, they just shelled out a massive contract to CB Josh Norman last offseason and they are unlikely to do the same with a free agent DB this offseason. As a result, if a strong CB falls to them at 17, I expect them to pounce. A player with Lattimore's length, fluid hips, and tremendous ball skills (just watch his INT against the Sooners) would be a massive upgrade for a DB unit that has struggled in Washington.


18 Tennessee
John Ross
    Washington
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
196
Alternate Pick #1
Cooper Kupp
Alternate Pick #2
O.J. Howard

Tennessee has a few different directions they could go here, now that the secondary has been addressed. One could be Zach Cunningham, who played right down the street at Vanderbilt. Last year, Tennessee selected Kevin Byard in the third round from Middle Tennessee State despite not being invited to the Combine, so they could look local again. Cunningham would compete with Avery Williamson and Wesley Woodyard for playing time. The more likely plan, though, is to give Marcus Mariota another weapon, since the current crop of receivers was inconsistent this past year. With Mike Williams and Corey Davis off the board, John Ross is the next best available. O.J. Howard is an option, but Tight Ends historically do not make a huge impact in their rookie season. Ross fits perfectly into the slot role that Kendall Wright is leaving behind (although Wright didn't play much in 2016). His quickness and route-running ability is perfect for Mariota, especially as he comes back from a broken fibula. Plus, Ross put up big numbers this past season at Washington (81 receptions, 1150 yards, 17 touchdowns), so he fits the Jon Robinson draft profile.


19 Tampa Bay
O.J. Howard
    Alabama
    TE
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
255
Alternate Pick #1
Dalvin Cook
Alternate Pick #2
Christian McCaffrey

Last week we pointed out that O.J. Howard, as a result of his Senior Bowl performance, had advanced his draft stock to the point that the Bucs would not be in contention for his services. Here it is exactly one week later and, happily, Howard falls to Tampa Bay.

The Bucs draft needs are such that a top WR or Safety would be ideal with pick #19. However the DRAFTSIM model has been unwilling to offer up any of those six candidate prospects to the Bucs over the past several weeks. This has resulted in the Bucs being mocked with "Plan Bs" --usually Offensive Tackles. It is possible that the fast upcoming NFL Combine will push some new names into contention with the Bucs' RD1 pick. Keep an eye on Safeties Budda Baker and Marcus Williams.

However, I'd be more than pleased with O.J. Howard in a Bucs' uni. Here's his home-grown Scouting Report. OJ's a great pick on several levels. He's a superb blocking Tight End, which will improve the Bucs' dismal running game (30th in yards/carry at 3.6). Just as importantly, Howard will both complement and provide insurance for Cameron Brate in the passing game. His role at Alabama was predominantly as a blocking TE, but he put to rest any question about his receiving abilities at the aforementioned Senior Bowl, where scouts voted him the "Top Practice Player".


20 Denver
Garett Bolles
    Utah
    OT
    Reach/Value:     -20
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
296
Alternate Pick #1
Malik McDowell
Alternate Pick #2
David Njoku

The Broncos are going to be active seeking improvement on their offensive line this off-season. They still need to make a decision on Russell Okung, but odds are he will not be playing for Denver next season. They have reportedly expressed interest in Andrew Whitworth but at 35, he isn't a long-term solution. Bolles' name is starting to pop up more often among scouts searching for the best tackle in this class. His athleticism is going to show up next week in Indianapolis, at which point we may start hearing his name closer to the top 10. If that is the case, they may heat up their pursuit of Whitworth when Free Agency starts. ~Austin Smith


21 Detroit
Zach Cunningham
    Vanderbilt
    ILB
    Reach/Value:     -11
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
240
Alternate Pick #1
Tim Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Quincy Wilson

There are Draftniks who are projecting a CB for this crucial pick. This is a very fine and deep class of DBs. That's the good news. The not-so-great news is that the top CB will be drafted after three Safeties come off the board first. That roughly translates into a fine group of CB projects, who will have to earn their spurs while being abused.

No other unit on any NFL team suffers nearly as much abuse as rookie Cornerbacks, who must undergo a grueling process of film study, and take what they learn to the field against receivers who are bigger, and faster. Just learning the various "moves" a WR makes off the snap, and incorporating that learning into bone-memory is a daunting task. Think of it as learning the US tax code in a couple months, just for starters.

Bottom line? The Lions can wait for that worthwhile CB project until the third round, or later, and be rewarded handsomely. We'll stick with ILB Zach Cunningham, who will be an immediate impact contributor.


22 Miami
Jarrad Davis
    Florida
    ILB
    Reach/Value:     -6
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
227
Alternate Pick #1
Tim Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Taco Charlton

The Dolphins have made their first big splash of the off-season with a presumptive late-round draft-pick-trade for TE Julius Thomas. One thing this trade is indicative of is that the Dolphins' front office is serious about going heavy on defense in this year's NFL Draft. With a projected $42M in cap space heading into the Free Agency period, the Dolphins will again shake things up once the signing period opens on March 9th.

Miami's LB situation could become very ugly once Free Agency gets underway, with five ILB/OLB set to become free agents. Kiko Alonso is a restricted free agent but will be back with the Dolphins. Spencer Paysinger, Donald Butler, and Jelani Jenkins are unrestricted free agents and it is likely that all three have played their last games in South Beach. Mike Hull is the lone exclusive-rights free agent and will likely be brought back on under a new contract for his role on special teams. Even with a Free Agency acquisition (or two), the Dolphins could still find themselves short-handed at the LB position leaving them to fill the need in the Draft. ~Woodrow Sweet, Dolphins Analyst


23 NY Giants
David Njoku
    Miami
    TE
    Reach/Value:     -12
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
245
Alternate Pick #1
Tim Williams
Alternate Pick #2
Dalvin Cook

Way back in 2001, the Giants' tight ends had combined for a total of 17 catches. In 2002, they drafted Jeremy Shockey out of the University of Miami with their first round pick and he tallied 74 catches for 874 yards in year one. Fast forward a decade-and-half to a more pass-happy NFL and you will find a 2016 Giants' tight end combination of Will Tye and Larry Donnell that struggled. Last season they produced 63 receptions for 487 yards combined and we already know Donnell will not be returning. Last year's sixth round pick, Jerell Adams, chipped in and added 16 receptions for 122 yards. To make tight end matters worse, all three failed to provide significant help or impact to an offensive line that ranked 20th overall by Pro Football Focus. The production at tight end simply was not up to par.

The Giants have many needs to address in both free agency and the draft, with tight end being among the top of their needs. The 2017 draft class is full of talented tight ends. They must find one who can draw the attention of safeties and linebackers, and take pressure off of Eli Manning and his wide receivers. As the draft inches closer, David Njoku out of Jeremy Shockey's alma mater is a name to keep an eye on. Njoku is an ascending pass catching talent with elite traits and I expect his stock to rise even further after he showcases his overall athleticism at the upcoming NFL Scouting Combine.


24 Oakland
Dalvin Cook
    Florida St
    RBF
    Reach/Value:     +11
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
206
Alternate Pick #1
Quincy Wilson
Alternate Pick #2
Jourdan Lewis

If you are looking for a single player that makes the most significant improvement for the Raiders, it is hard to make the case against Cook. Faster, more electric, and a better receiving threat than Murray and a more complete back than Washington or Richard, the former Seminole would be an early ROY front-runner --along with Fournette. Should Murray walk, getting an every-down back will be the biggest need of the offseason, and Cook could give the Silver & Black (Carr-Cook-Cooper-Crabtree) perhaps the most deadly grouping of offensive starts since the Greatest Show on Turf (Warner-Faulk-Bruce-Holt) and could remind many of the legendary Rams' back. That said, the Raiders ranked dead last in the league in sacks, Mario Edwards has not proven he can stay healthy, and Aldon Smith may never play again. The team could look to address that need via the draft. Players like Austin Howard and Sean Smith are being mentioned as potential cap casualties which could affect the draft outlook. Linebacker remains a top priority, as well.





25 Houston
Malik McDowell
    Michigan St
    DL5T
    Reach/Value:     +3
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
276
Alternate Pick #1
Brad Kaaya
Alternate Pick #2
Quincy Wilson

Considering the Texans' critical needs (QB and RT), this is not my ideal scenario. Adding a QB should be Houston's main priority, but not at the risk of bypassing a better player. Draft history shows that reaching for positions of need leads to a higher probability of mistakes. With three of the top four QBs remaining on the board, the Texans must determine if Kizer, Trubisky, or Mahomes can provide an immediate upgrade under center. If the answer is yes, take the gamble on a QB in RD1, otherwise select the BPA. The upcoming Combine and Pro Days will go a long way in flushing out the draft stock of this year's QB class. At this point in the evaluation process, reaching for a QB in the 1st is not worth the risk. Instead, the Texans focus on a position not many people are talking about. On paper, Watt, Clowney, and Reader establish the foundation of an intimidating DL while Covington and Heath provide rotational versatility. Wilfork and Antonio Smith are at the end of their careers and Houston must find contributors to maintain the strength of their DL. Malik McDowell has the potential to be a game wrecker on the interior DL, especially with Watt and Clowney drawing double teams. If Malik can return to his old form (projected top-5 pick) after a down season, Houston's DL just got really scary. ~CME, Texans Analyst


26 Seattle
Haason Reddick
    Temple
    OLB
    Reach/Value:     -28
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
230
Alternate Pick #1
Quincy Wilson
Alternate Pick #2
Gareon Conley

Seattle's team needs include Offensive Tackle (multiple), Corner, Edge rush, and OLB. The need at OT mentioned since last Halloween should be taken care of in Free Agency instead of the draft, and the next several picks in this mock show why: A smorgasbord of players, including OLB Haason Reddick, CB Quincy Wilson, and Edge rushers Charles Harris and Taco Charlton, should tempt you like a Royal Lahaina luau. Reddick is your meat-and-potatoes choice. He's the guy that led the entire nation in tackles for loss (21.5) last season, while racking up 9.5 sacks and forcing 3 fumbles. There was very little, defensively, that Reddick didn't help with for the Owls in 2016. Reddick would be strong against the run (where Seattle has been strong since 2012), yet is more than capable when dropping back into coverage (where Seattle was 25th in passing defense).


27 Kansas City
DeShone Kizer
    Notre Dame
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -28
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
230
Alternate Pick #1
Christian McCaffrey
Alternate Pick #2
Brad Kaaya

Alex Smith will be our starting QB next year. However, one can make a pretty strong case, financially at least, that the Chiefs should move on in 2018. Last week, it was reported that QB Nick Foles will not be asked to return to the team. The Tony Romo chatter has not excited the fanbase. All signs indicate a QB will be chosen in RD1 or RD2.

Choosing to go the safer route this week, DeShone Kizer gets the nod at pick 27 over the often off-script performer Pat Mahomes, my choice in previous mock drafts. Kizer has ideal size, athleticism, and arm strength to play QB in the NFL. He played in a pro-style offense at Notre Dame and works through his progressions while reading the entire field. After benefiting greatly from a strong supporting cast in 2015, Kizer suffered a little bit of a down year in 2016. He lost four of his top five receivers, including a RD1 selection (Will Fuller), a LT who went in RD1 (Ronnie Stanley) and the Irish's leading rusher (C.J. Prosise); yet, he still managed to set career-bests in passing yds (2,925) and passing TDs (26). He does have shortcomings to work on: holding the ball too long, fumbles (13 in his college career), and footwork needing improvement (he has a long stride when throwing downfield). However, if you like Mike Mayock, he believes Kizer is the top QB prospect in this year's draft. ~KCBudMan, Chiefs Analyst


28 Dallas
Quincy Wilson
    Florida
    CB
    Reach/Value:     +10
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
213
Alternate Pick #1
Adoree Jackson
Alternate Pick #2
Gareon Conley

During the Wild Card Weekend of the Playoffs, I addressed each positional group for the Cowboys; the following is an excerpt from the CB position:

Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne are 2017 UFA's, Orlando Scandrick still shows effects from his injury; thank the stars 2016 RD6 pick Anthony Brown played above his pedigree. The CB position should be addressed early and often in 2017!

While Cuzzin Jerruh is looking for "War Daddies" to rush the QB, in this simulation the top 4 EDGE rushers are off the board and the 5th (Tim Williams, Alabama) has off-the-field issues . . . and Dallas already has Randy Gregory, who won't play in 2017 after missing practically all of 2016. The 2 positions of need with the highest priority are EDGE and CB . . . and when the 3rd-ranked CB falls to #28, it creates a BPA decision-making scenario between position groups. Quincy started all 13 games in 2016 as a Junior, finishing 2nd on the team in passes defended (9) and interceptions (3) to earn 2nd-Team All-SEC honors. And never forget (drum roll, please) . . . CB's are like closets in a house . . . you can never have enough of them!


29 Green Bay
Charles Harris
    Missouri
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -8
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
255
Alternate Pick #1
Taco Charlton
Alternate Pick #2
Adoree Jackson

It's a scenario that has been played out several times before; the Packers' defense' (specifically the secondary) getting ripped to shreds in a playoff game. In fact, the Packers have a 10-7 playoff record under Aaron Rodgers with the defense giving up an average of 36 points in those seven losses. Let that sink in for a bit. Think this has ever happened to the Patriots and Tom Brady? I'll save you the googling time; yes it has. Once, in 2006, by Peyton Manning's Colts.

In the humiliating playoff loss to the Falcons, we witnessed the inability of the Packers to put any real pressure on opposing quarterbacks, hanging their banged up and inexperienced secondary out to dry. While steady against the run, the Packers defense MUST find a way to generate a consistent pass rush, especially when facing the better quarterbacks in the league. That's where Charles Harris comes in. In a draft chock full of very good edge rushers, Harris might be one of the most ready to contribute in year one. Missouri has produced several impact NFL pass rushers the last few years (Kony Ealy, Shane Ray, and Markus Golden). Charles Harris will be next in the pipeline.

Highlights

- @JerseyAlGBP, Packers Analyst


30 Pittsburgh
Taco Charlton
    Michigan
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -3
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
272
Alternate Pick #1
Carl Lawson
Alternate Pick #2
Jourdan Lewis

The Steelers have some decent options here. For Edge rushers, Charlton, Carl Lawson, Tim Williams, and TJ Watt are on the board. It would also be hard to go wrong with cornerbacks Jourdan Lewis, Adoree' Jackson, or Sidney Jones. While the deep edge-rush class might tempt them to look at BPA here, the need at edge trumps all other positions.

Since James Harrison will be back for one more season, the team has a year to polish a rough diamond if they can find one. Charlton fits the bill as a freakish height/weight/ agility prospect. His production increased every year in college culminating in his Senior year as a starter. Last year for the Wolverines, he had 9.5 sacks and 43 tackles, playing particularly well in big games. Charlton shows heavy hands at the line and, good flexibility around the edge with a quick first step. For the Steelers, he'd project initially as a situational pass rusher who would be given more as his development progresses. Most analysts point to his inconsistent play as his biggest weakness. With work on a wider arsenal of pass-rush moves and improvement in his technique and conditioning, he could be a playmaker on the Steelers' defense.


31 Atlanta
Forrest Lamp
    W Kentucky
    OG
    Reach/Value:     +0
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
305
Alternate Pick #1
Dion Dawkins
Alternate Pick #2
Caleb Brantley

Last week had Tim Williams coming to Atlanta, but this week we are back to Forrest Lamp. This draft is very deep in all sorts of defensive linemen, but rather shallow in offensive linemen. Pro coaches are bemoaning what college offenses are doing to OL play, and it's showing up on Draft Day. Lamp might be as versatile as any OL prospect in the draft, with the potential to be a Pro-Bowl Guard, while capably backing up LT. Matt Ryan's MVP award undoubtedly is linked to improved OL play in front of him, and RG is a real need.

However, the Falcons have shown two things. First, a player like Tim Williams likely won't be picked, since he has as many red flags as a Soviet parade. Second, they will "reach" for the player they want, regardless of what the draft experts think the value should be. Both Keanu Neal and Deion Jones were derided as reaches last April, and both made the Pro Football Writers All Rookie Defense. Jones was a contender for Defensive Rookie of the Year, right along with the third-overall pick. As the draft process unfolds, watch who the Falcons covet. Chances are that's who they will draft, no matter what Mel Hairdo says.


32 New England
Christian McCaffrey
    Stanford
    RBC
    Reach/Value:     +7
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
202
Alternate Pick #1
Jourdan Lewis
Alternate Pick #2
Tim Williams

Three weeks in a row, three weeks Christian McCaffrey. During the midseason, New England traded for OLB Kyle Van Noy and CB Eric Rowe. Both of them played key parts in the AFC Championship matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers. OLB Shea McClellin signed a three-year, $9.05M deal this past year and was the catalyst that changed 1st and goal from a foot away to a 23- yard field goal. New England has the option to obtain a talented player in either of those positions, but Christian McCaffrey is an exceptional talent. Here is a fact: a great running game with players that run hard and fight for every yard will make your defense better. In the Super Bowl, New England ran 93 plays on offense to pull off the unlikely comeback. Their time of possession was 40 minutes, 31 seconds against an Atlanta Falcons' defense that ran out of steam and the offense went cold in the 2nd half. Christian McCaffrey would only improve this.

McCaffrey shattered Barry Sanders' single-season record for all-purpose yards with 3,864 from scrimmage. His patience and vision running the ball find the creases that running backs need at the NFL level. Every time he touches the ball, he's a home run threat that completely opens up the New England playbook. McCaffrey is best suited for a "running back by committee" offense. With LeGarrette Blount probably on his way out, McCaffrey would be a plug-in-and-play chess piece. with Brady excited to have the next weapon at his disposal.

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Tennessee gets Los Angeles R1 Pick (2016 Draft trade)
Cleveland gets Philadelphia R1 Pick (2016 Draft trade)

Return to Round 1 Picks 17-32
Forward to Round 2 Picks 33-48
Forward to Round 2 Picks 49- 64
Forward to Round 3
Forward to Round 4
Forward to Round 5
Forward to Round 6
Forward to Round 7





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Get Consensus Mock Draft revs upon release!
Atlantic Coast Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank ACC Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
7 Mike Williams
Clemson
WRF
13 Dalvin Cook
Florida St
RBF
14 Mitch Trubisky
North Carolina
QB
16 Deshaun Watson
Clemson
QB
29 Brad Kaaya
Miami (FL)
QB
35 David Njoku
Miami (FL)
TE
48 Demarcus Walker
Florida St
EDGE
57 Carlos Watkins
Clemson
DL3T
61 Roderick Johnson
Florida St
OT
64 Bucky Hodges
Virginia Tech
TE
67 Travis Rudolph
Florida St
WRF
69 Isaiah Ford
Virginia Tech
WRF
70 Cordrea Tankersley
Clemson
CB
79 Jordan Leggett
Clemson
TE
82 Dorian Johnson
Pittsburgh
OG
83 Nathan Peterman
Pittsburgh
QB
86 Adam Bisnowaty
Pittsburgh
OT
90 Wayne Gallman
Clemson
RBC
93 Nazair Jones
North Carolina
DL5T
98 Artavis Scott
Clemson
WRS
106 Keith Kelsey
Louisville
OLB
108 Devonte Fields
Louisville
EDGE
114 Josh Harvey-Clemons
Louisville
S
125 Jerod Evans
Virginia Tech
QB
126 Marquez White
Florida St
CB
132 Elijah Hood
North Carolina
RBF
133 Stacy Coley
Miami (FL)
WRS
137 Danny Isidora
Miami (FL)
OG
152 Corn Elder
Miami (FL)
CB
155 Ben Boulware
Clemson
ILB
161 Marquel Lee
Wake Forest
ILB
163 Cole Hikutini
Louisville
TE
170 John Johnson
Boston College
S
172 Cam Serigne
Wake Forest
TE
181 Des Lawrence
North Carolina
CB
184 James Quick
Louisville
WRS
188 Justin Thomas
Georgia Tech
CB
196 Freddie Stevenson
Florida St
FB
201 Ryan Switzer
North Carolina
WRS
202 Matt Milano
Boston College
OLB
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