O/A Rank Top-10 QBs
1 Josh Rosen
4 Mason Rudolph
5 Sam Darnold
12 Josh Allen
29 Lamar Jackson
42 Baker Mayfield
69 Luke Falk
88 Riley Ferguson
109 Kurt Benkert
117 Mike White
143 Chase Litton
165 Alex McGough
173 Kyle Lauletta
179 Nic Shimonek
184 Tanner Lee
Source Link:
Drafttek Position Rankings


















2018 NFL Mock Draft #13: Darnold, Barkley stay at 1-2!

January 17, 2018 1:30 AM EST
  • Can Rosen make it to Broncos at #5?
  • Top Clemson players return: Hyatt, Wilkins, Ferrell, Bryant
  • Updated selection order (thru Divisional Round) - Click Here!
  • Next mock draft Wednesday January 24th


1 Cleveland
Sam Darnold
    USC
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -20
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
225



While fans were holding a parade following the Browns' 0-16 season, the staff was secretly holding a celebration of their own after finding out that both Darnold and Josh Rosen were declaring for the draft. Still, there is going to be a lot of strategic thinking left to do in the Cleveland front office before deciding how to spend this pick.

First, they need to decide which of the two SoCal quarterbacks they favor, and after that, they need to decide whether they feel that player can get to the fourth pick. If not, they need to take him here. If so, then selecting Saquon Barkley becomes the priority, because I am not convinced that he gets to the fourth selection, and coming away with him and the quarterback of their choosing has to be the goal. If the Browns can make that happen, they may give the Dawg Pound a non-delusional reason to throw a party.

~Austin Smith


2 NY Giants
Saquon Barkley
    Penn State
    RBF
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
223

Vikings' Offensive Coordinator Pat Shurmur is expected to become the Giants' new coach as soon as Minnesota's season ends. Under Shurmur this season, Vikings' quarterback Case Keenum ran play-action on 28.7 percent of his passes, the third-highest rate in the league. The play-action emphasis bodes well for the return of Eli Manning in 2018, considering he flourished under a scheme that featured a lot of play-action. Past offenses run by Shurmur have typically featured an elite running back, too. Last year, the Vikings drafted Dalvin Cook in RD2 and with the Eagles Shurmur leaned on LeSean McCoy. Back with the Rams, it was three-time Pro Bowl running back Steven Jackson. Penn State sensational junior, Saquon Barkley, is arguably the draft's best overall player, thanks to an incredible blend of size, agility, acceleration, and vision. If the new regime can produce an average offensive line, an offense led by Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr., Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard, and Saquon Barkley could be real good, real fast.


3 Indianapolis
Arden Key
    LSU
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -5
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
231



Key is a freak athlete and can be lined up all over, including LB. He has all the tools for becoming a truly sensational NFL player IF he can put to rest any lingering doubts about off-field issues that have popped up. Additionally, he does have some medical concerns that will need to be closely examined, so there is still the chance the Colts go with Bradley Chubb here. For this CMD, however, we'll go with the highest-rated EDGE player available.

With roughly $85 million in cap space, the Indianapolis Colts will have enough maneuverability to likely bolster a beleaguered offensive line, the unit that has allowed their franchise QB to be broken to the point of a potential early retirement. Should Andrew Luck be back to "normal" in 2018, GM Chris Ballard must do everything possible to protect #12 --or any QB wearing The Shoe, for that matter.

My belief is that a good chunk of that cap money will be devoted to the OL in Free Agency, while the defense continues to be built through the draft, especially at the EDGE position. The Colts have languished at the bottom in QB sacks, including a final ranking of 31st in 2017, with a paltry 25 QB sacks.

I don't quite buy the hype or logic for RB Saquon Barkley (at pick #3) if pressuring opposing / protecting their own QB is a top priority.


4 Cleveland
Calvin Ridley
    Alabama
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     -25
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
190



For those who watched Alabama play this season, you may be asking why Ridley deserves to be drafted this high. The answer was revealed coming out of halftime in the National Championship. Jalen Hurts struggled mightily to throw the football all season long, and that resulted in rather pedestrian numbers from Ridley. Still, for those non-believers that still exist, circle your calendars for February 27-March 5. That is when Ridley will be working out at the NFL Scouting Combine, where he is sure to put on a show. I am betting on Ridley being taller than former fourth-overall pick Amari Cooper, as well as more explosive. When that happens, this selection will likely make more sense, assuming Saquon Barkley and the quarterback of their choosing are all off the board.

~Austin Smith


5 Denver
Josh Rosen
    UCLA
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
210



Apparently, the term "subtle" is nowhere to be found in John Elway's dictionary. In a draft where many teams in the top 20 will be looking for Quarterback help, the Broncos made it no secret that they want to get their hands on one after they requested that Baker Mayfield be put on their roster at the Senior Bowl. Start packing now, Paxton Lynch, because your days are numbered. Of course, the goal is for either Sam Darnold or Josh Rosen to fall to this pick, and that is what this scenario presents to them. Still, I doubt this is a realistic possibility come April. The best chance the Broncos will likely have is for Cleveland to pass on them at one in hopes that one of them will fall to four. If that happens, expect the Colts' phone to start ringing off the hook with suitors willing to trade up to three and take the quarterback that New York doesn't select at two. Unless Denver spends the big bucks on Kirk Cousins, they better have their phones handy at that moment.

~Austin Smith


6 NY Jets
Mason Rudolph
    Oklahoma State
    QB
    Reach/Value:     +4
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
235



Reports this week suggest that Todd Bowles may be linking up short-term with his former boss in Arizona, Bruce Arians. Talk of Arians joining the Jets for training camp would be a great move, particularly if the Jets draft a young QB like Mason Ruldoph. If the current development of Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg is any indication, the Jets need all the help they can get in this area. Arians, and his wealth of experience would hopefully have a positive impact on any young QB. With what looks to be a pretty good list of QB's hitting FA, drafting a QB here is certainly not a sure thing, but it may make drafting the one they covet the most, a little easier, if teams picking ahead of them end up filling their QB void in FA. Rudolph completed 65% of his passes this year and had 37 TDs through the air, along with 10 rushing TDs. He has a lot of development ahead of him, but the guy is a real competitor and that trait should help as he learns the nuances of the position at the next level.


7 Tampa Bay
Bradley Chubb
    NC State
    EDGE
    Reach/Value:     -4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
273



The Bucs finished last in the NFL with just 22 sacks, but the stars are finally aligning in the 2018 NFL Draft for the team to staff the Edge position with the first Pro-Bowl talent since Simeon Rice, who a long time ago accumulated 67 sacks in his 5-year reign of terror (2001-2005).

Bradley Chubb has been rocketing up Big Boards during the season. DraftTek currently rates him at #12, though other sources place Chubb as high as the top-rated player in the draft --here and here. Despite persistent double-teams, Chubb repeated his 2016 statistical success, finishing in the top 10 nationally in both sacks and TFLs.

Will Chubb make it to the Bucs at #7? There's a good chance, with all the QB-needy teams picking 1-6. Indy seems a potential landing spot for Chubb, though our DrafTek Colts' Analyst has lately been stumping for Arden Key. The Browns?? Browns' chatterboxes have been openly pondering how a Myles Garrett/Bradley Chubb combo will actually lead to the winning of games. Let's hope that the seredipitous events that brought the Bucs O.J. Howard in the 2017 Draft will repeat with Chubb.


8 Chicago
Mike McGlinchey
    Notre Dame
    OT
    Reach/Value:     -1
Height:
6'7"
Weight:
310

Mike McGlinchey is 2018's version of the annual 'Can't-Miss' Offensive Lineman. Drawing comparisons to Zack Martin and Brandon Scherff, McGlinchey has both exceptional, consistent technique and a straight nasty demeanor. For a team that will be searching for an identity, McGlinchey could be a tone-setter on offense.

With Matt Nagy, an Andy Reid disciple, in as Head Coach, look for the offense to be a dynamic, zone-run/pass option scheme similar to what KC has employed since Reid's arrival at Arrowhead. While Jordan Howard was the fourth-most efficient runner in 2017, according to NFL's Next-Gen Stats, he faced 8 men in the box far too often and only averaged 4.1 ypc.

To open up the offense, I'd expect Chicago to attempt to find a dynamic RB later in the draft as the team's Kareem Hunt and an explosive WR in the Tyreek Hill mold. Not only will these changes create a dynamic and multiple offense, but play action and frequent rollouts will ease the burden on young QB Mitchell Trubisky. When building an offense, it's wise to start up front, and Pro Football Focus' #1 College OT is a good place to start.

-Kennedy Paynter, Redskins Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)




9 Oakland
Harold Landry
    Boston College
    OLB
    Reach/Value:     +4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
250



WWGD --What Will Gruden Do? That's the big question of the offseason now that Mark Davis has brought Chucky back to roam the sideline once again. How will the $100 Million Man view the Raiders' current roster, and what changes will he bring? Major questions surrounding the futures of starters like Marshawn Lynch, Michael Crabtree, Donald Penn, Denico Autry, Justin Ellis, Navorro Bowman, Sean Smith, David Amerson, and Reggie Nelson mean the Raiders could go in a host of directions at this spot. That said, where Oakland has been consistently bad is with its pass rush. Since 2012, the team has ranked 31st, 18th, 30th, 14th, 32nd, and 24th in sacks. That also means that, since investing the #5-overall pick in Khalil Mack, who became one of the league's premier defenders, the Raiders have ranked in the bottom quarter of the league 3/4 seasons. With such paltry production coming from anyone not wearing #52, Harold Landry, who had 21.5 sacks over his last 20 collegiate contests. would make a lot of sense. Still, other defensive talents like Roquan Smith, Minkah Fitzpatrick, or Derwin James would fit here, and it could be that WR becomes a RD1 priority by the time the draft rolls around.


10 San Francisco
Minkah Fitzpatrick
    Alabama
    S
    Reach/Value:     +6
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
216



Fresh off the second national championship victory of his three-year career at Alabama, Minkah Fitzpatrick once again falls to the 49ers with the 10th pick. While I maintain that Fitzpatrick's best and ultimate position in the NFL will be CB due to his elite size and speed for the position, part of what makes him unique is his versatility.

Pending free agent Eric Reid has been the 49ers go-to utility DB, but after an awkward midseason flirtation with a move to LB it's fair to wonder if he'll be back in 2018. It's also worth noting that while Adrian Colbert and Jaquski Tartt look like a promising safety tandem, they haven't really played together, as Colbert was primarily a CB before he took over the FS spot from Tartt who's season ended early after an injury suffered in week nine. (Tartt himself had slid over from SS when Jimmie Ward went on IR the week before.) Fitzpatrick's elite talent and positional flexibility to play anywhere in the secondary provides an ideal safeguard against any issues with chemistry or future injury.

-Brett Clancy, 49ers Analyst (@thebrettclancy on Twitter)


11 Miami
Quenton Nelson
    Notre Dame
    OG
    Reach/Value:     -21
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
329



It's a rarity that Offensive Guards are drafted in the first round, let alone in the top 10. In the eight drafts thus far this decade, a total of 10 RD1 OGs have been selected. Only two of those have been top 10, both coming in 2013 (Jonathan Cooper ARI #7 and Chance Warmack TEN #10).

Quenton Nelson is that kind of talent. When a team like the Dolphins have an overwhelming need at a certain position, then a mild reach for an exceptional talent is the smart move.

The Dolphins ranked #29 in Rushing YPG (86.8) and 24th in Rushing YPA (3.9). Where it really counts, the red zone, is where the Fins' run game really, really starts to tarnish. Only 12.9% of the team's TDs on the season came via the run game. Root cause analysis points to the Guard play. Jermon Bushrod, Jesse Davis, Anthony Steen and Ted Larsen have ranks of 64, 65, 67 and 70 per ProFootballFocus positional rankings --uniformly underperforming. You can see Nelson Highlights here.


12 Cincinnati
Brian O'Neill
    Pittsburgh
    OT
    Reach/Value:     -2
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
305

With Andrew Whitworth manning the left side in 2016, the Bengals offense ranked 13th in yards/game, and tied for 10th in explosive plays (20+ yards) with 53. After the Bengals' brass let Whitworth leave to the Rams as a free agent, the offense fell apart in 2017, finishing dead last in yards/game and tied for 28th in explosive plays with 34. On the other hand, the Rams went from being 32nd in points/game in 2016 to 1st in 2017. Obviously, there were more factors involved than just Whitworth changing teams, but the point is that the Bengals need to get better on the offensive line. Investing in an offensive tackle early in the 2018 NFL Draft will certainly go a long way to helping this offense turn things around, especially given the lack of talent in the free-agent pool. Brian O'Neill is the pick here, but given his relative inexperience and lack of NFL size, Kolton Miller and Connor Williams might also be in play. It's still early, but trading down also isn't out of the question if one of the big quarterback prospects fall to this spot and the Bengals aren't interested in pulling the trigger.


13 Washington
Josh Allen
    Wyoming
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -27
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
230



The #chachacha has gone on far too long. Jay Gruden has made it loud and clear that he does not want the Kirk drama to continue, saying "I think something has to be done...I personally don't want to go through another one-year deal, and just [keep going] one year, one year. I think you want to have a quarterback in here that's going to be here. And hopefully that is Kirk, and if not, we have to move on and do what we have to do as an organization." This, in addition to Gruden's lukewarm assessment of his soon-to-be-highest-paid QB, makes me think it's very unlikely #8 returns in 2017.

Luckily, Gruden is a proven entity when it comes to offensive design and has shown he can win with sub-average QB play. So, whereto next? Colt McCoy? I sure as heck hope not. I believe Andy Dalton is a strong possibility, both because of the Bengals' lack of commitment to him and his ties to Gruden (Gruden was OC when the Red Rifle had his best seasons in Cincy). If the Redskins don't find a replacement in FA, look for Washington to draft a QB at 13 if Allen, Rosen, or Darnold are available. Here, Allen, possibly the most purely talented passer to come out of the draft in quite some time, falls into their lap. Now, Allen is not without his faults. He had a very low accuracy % (56% for two straight seasons) and a low TD/INT ratio.

That's not good, you say? How could we use a RD1 pick on him, you say? Consider this; Dan Marino (25), Matt Ryan (19), and Jameis Winston (18) all turned the ball over a lot and were top QBs in their respective drafts. Allen has come up in a pro-style offense and has called his own protections, so he actually comes in ahead of most QBs in that sense, but he needs to fix his footwork and the accuracy is scary. If any coach can harness Allen's tremendous potential, it's Jay Gruden. Time to earn your (embarrassingly small compared big bro) paycheck, Baby Gruden.

-Kennedy Paynter, Redskins Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)


14 Green Bay
Denzel Ward
    Ohio State
    CB
    Reach/Value:     -9
Height:
5'11"
Weight:
184



As the RD1 selections have fallen to this point, the Packers' selection comes down to the passing game - either helping their own or stopping their opponent's. It's very tempting here to give Aaron Rodgers another weapon, and a deep threat one at that, with a selection of James Washington. The idea being they will just continue to try to outscore teams. But that hasn't worked well for them in the playoffs. This year's crop of teams advancing through the playoffs all have one thing in common - defenses that don't give up a lot of points. So temptation will be ignored and instead the selection here will be a top half of the first round cornerback, something the Packers haven't had since Terrell Buckley in 1992. (ok, maybe I shouldn't have brought up that name). Regardless, pairing Ward with last year's RD2 pick Kevin King should establish a solid young foundation at the cornerback position, a crucial one in today's NFL.

- @JerseyAlGBP, Packers Analyst

Player Highlights


15 Arizona
Baker Mayfield
    Oklahoma
    QB
    Reach/Value:     -68
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
210



Arizona's offseason kicked off with the retirements of HC Bruce Arians and QB Carson Palmer. According to owner Michael Bidwell, AZ's next head coach will need to have three traits - be a "leader," have a "track record of performance," and be able to "keep this culture of accountability moving forward." The traits required of their next franchise quarterback should become more clear once a new coach is appointed.

If Baker Mayfield impresses at the Senior Bowl and Combine, there's a strong possibility that he's an option in RD1. Arizona, which doesn't even have a QB under contract for the 2018 season, could be a clear landing spot. With a true "no risk it, no biscuit" attitude, Mayfield racked up 4627 yards, 43 TDs, a 70.5% completion percentage, and an insane 11.5 yards/attempt. Mayfield is shorter than the prototypical QB, but the Heisman winner may have the fiery leadership and arm talent to break the mold. Mayfield could be a bit of a reach/gamble here, but he's made plenty of risks pay off in his college career.
~James Siebers, Cards' Analyst


16 Baltimore
James Washington
    Oklahoma State
    WRF
    Reach/Value:     +1
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
205



Personally, I see Joe Flacco as an inhibiting factor for the franchise, but, let's be honest; he isn't going anywhere. So, the only way to get more production from a passing game ranked 32nd in yards per attempt is to improve the talent surrounding the mediocre QB. Mike Wallace is set to play next season at the age of 32 and is coming off his 2nd-worst season, Jeremy Maclin posted his least productive season and looks to be on the decline, and Breshad Perriman is a bust of Matt Elam-esque proportions. Enter James Washington, a talented receiver who hauled in an impressive 4,472 yards over the course of his career. The Cowboy would immediately upgrade the roster of pass catchers and give Flacco a potential go-to weapon. Courtland Sutton and Christian Kirk would both be under consideration if this is the way the Ravens decide to go, and I have a hard time believing Ozzie will not be considering Rashaan Evans at this spot, as well.

Traded Round 1 Picks:
Buffalo gets Kansas City R1 Pick (2017 Draft trade)
Cleveland gets Houston R1 Pick (2017 Draft trade)

Forward to Round 1 Picks 17- 32
Forward to Round 2
Forward to Round 3
Forward to Round 4
Forward to Round 5
Forward to Round 6
Forward to Round 7








Drafttek Twitter:
Get Consensus Mock Draft revs upon release!
Big Ten Conference
Big Board Rankings
O/A Rank Big 10 Conference
Top-40 Players
Psn
6 Saquon Barkley
Penn State
RBF
17 Joshua Jackson
Iowa
CB
20 Maurice Hurst
Michigan
DL3T
27 Denzel Ward
Ohio State
CB
41 Billy Price
Ohio State
OG
57 D.J. Moore
Maryland
WRS
62 Jerome Baker
Ohio State
ILB
73 Sam Hubbard
Ohio State
OLB
77 Tegray Scales
Indiana
OLB
78 Marcus Allen
Penn State
S
87 Akrum Wadley
Iowa
RBF
95 Steven Richardson
Minnesota
DL3T
100 Jalyn Holmes
Ohio State
DL5T
103 Brendan Mahon
Penn St
OG
104 Mike Gesicki
Penn State
TE
115 Jamarco Jones
Ohio State
OT
126 Troy Fumagalli
Wisconsin
TE
127 Godwin Igwebulke
Northwestern
S
128 Josey Jewell
Iowa
ILB
130 Michael Hill
Ohio State
DL3T
135 Sean Welsh
Iowa
OG
146 DaeSean Hamilton
Penn State
WRF
147 Nick Nelson
Wisconsin
CB
150 Mike McCray
Michigan
ILB
152 Damon Webb
Ohio State
S
155 J.C. Jackson
Maryland
CB
175 James Daniels
Iowa
OC
184 Tanner Lee
Nebraska
QB
189 Ike Boettger
Iowa
OT
195 Justin Jackson
Northwestern
RBC
217 L.J. Scott
Michigan State
RBF
220 Olive Sagapolu
Wisconsin
DL1T
222 Nathan Bazata
Iowa
DL3T
229 Tracy Sprinkle
Ohio State
DL3T
238 Sebastian Joseph
Rutgers
DL5T
241 Tyquan Lewis
Ohio State
EDGE
253 Parker Cothren
Penn State
DL3T
255 Khalid Hill
Michigan
FB
257 Conor Sheehy
Wisconsin
DL5T
263 Simmie Cobbs Jr.
Indiana
WRF
Source Link:
Drafttek Player Rankings

Drafttek.com uses a computer model to simulate a 7-round 2018 NFL Mock Draft. Each team has an analyst who supplies data on 2018 team draft needs. The team needs are matched against a ranked list of draft prospects (aka "Big Board") to generate each selection in our 2018 NFL Mock Draft.


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