2023 NFL Mock Draft

RD1 Picks 17-31


17 Tennessee
Quentin Johnston
TCU
WR
Reach/Value:
-3
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
201
Quentin Johnston NFL Draft photo
Look, the Titans' offense sucks. I've said that Ryan Tannehill needs to be replaced for three years now, but Malik Willis isn't ready. Willis is a star, he just needs to develop. In the meantime, use Willis as an RPO change of pace QB would make the Titans offense run better. That's if the Titans want to be effective, which can be tough to tell sometimes. I want to be clear, Willis has Josh Allen's arm and Michael Vick's legs. He still needs to put his skills together. The Bills offense can make any defense look bad, but offenses shouldn't look so bad against the Bills' defense. The Titans' offense needs help, and WR is glaring. Willis will be the QB of the future, but the Titans need help at WR first and foremost.

Treylon Burks is a star, he's rookie AJ Brown. There's an obvious problem though, that's still one WR to worry about. I'm a fan of Robert Woods' talent, but it's not producing results. The Titans will win games, I'm not worried about that. The Colts should be the Titans main challengers for the AFC South, but they're 0-2 just like the Titans. Talent wise, the Titans and Colts should be fighting it out, but who knows? Maybe the Jags dominate everyone. Whatever the outcome of the season, the Titans need offensive help. Treylon Burks plus maybe Robert Woods doesn't equal success. But you know what's better than one AJ Brown clone? Two! Treylon Burks and 6'4" 4.4 running Quentin Johnson sounds like a lot of fun. I want Malik Willis throwing to these two, but even if there's an average QB throwing, the Titans need two good WRs. They need to improve the offense while Derrick Henry is still healthy. Burks and Johnson on the outside with Woods on the inside makes the Titans' passing game real. If not, we just have to hope Henry is so dominant he carries the Titans to the AFC Championship as he did in 2020.
18 Seattle (Trade)
Bryan Bresee
Clemson
DL3T
Reach/Value:
+6
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
300
Bryan Bresee NFL Draft photo
Up top we covered the offense through the first two weeks, now it's the defense's turn. This unit really took the Pete Carroll mantra of "defend every blade of grass" to new heights against Denver. Forcing two fumbles on the goal line and holding Russell Wilson to just 16 points. Perfection. San Francisco was a different story as the Niners gashed the Hawks on the ground and were able to control the ball for a little over 38 minutes of gametime, scoring 27 points in the process.

Defensive tackle may not be the most pressing need on this side of the ball, and the Niners are a good rushing attack (or is Kyle Shanahan just good at scheming it up?); but 189 yards and complete control of the game calls for something. Big Al Woods is a one-man wrecking crew that isn't getting any younger. Run stopping help must come from somewhere, be that a new 3-tech tackle or an off-ball linebacker.

Clemson stand-out, Bryan Bresee, is the type of player that a team with two RD1 selections should be excited about falling to them. He's a monster that can play DT or maybe even 5-tech in a 3-4 base, such as Seattle now employees. He is coming off an ACL injury in 2021, but he's been on the NFL radar for a few years now.

~Jeff Chapman, Seahawks Analyst
19 Arizona
Joey Porter Jr.
Penn State
CB
Reach/Value:
+6
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
192
Joey Porter Jr. NFL Draft photo
For the first 6 quarters of the season, the Cardinals looked like a lost team destined for a top five pick in the 2023 draft. A group that was riddled with injuries and disfunction on the field, coupled with controversy and uncertainty off the field. However, either through incredible talent, sheer dumb luck or just the heorics of Kyler Murray, they now sit with a 1-1 record and a completely changed narrative. Arizona now comes into Week 3 with some good things to build on once it gets healthy and some hope for the future.

Winning cures all.



The Cardinals still have plenty of problems, however, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Arizona allowed 67 total points and an average of 302 passing yards in its first two games - good for the worst and second worst in the league, respectively - while recording just one sack. In the 41-22 blowout to the Chiefs Week 1, the defense allowed 33 first downs on 66 total plays.

Though they've gotten away with it the last two years, inexplicably still middle of the pack in passing defense in the Kliff Kingsbury era before this season, Arizona's lack of depth in the secondary seems to finally be catching up with them. Joey Porter Jr., son of former NFL linebacker who played from 1999 to 2011, should theoretically be a huge boost once slotted opposite Week 2 heroes Byron Murphy Jr. and Isaiah Simmons. His blend of size and speed, as well as his experience on the outside, should make for a good No. 1 CB in Vance Joseph's man-heavy scheme.
20 Dallas
Clark Phillips III
Utah
CBN
Reach/Value:
+1
Height:
5'10"
Weight:
185
Clark Phillips III NFL Draft photo
Through the first several weeks of the season, two things are clear about the Dallas Cowboys. This defense is one of the most talented units in the league and the offense is not. Because of that, I'm strongly leaning toward offensive prospects with this pick, but that doesn't mean I'm writing off defenders completely. While the Cowboys did reach to fill a need last year with Tyler Smith, that typically isn't what we see from America's Team early in the draft.

Will McClay and Stephen Jones usually lean towards value over need, and that's why I could see them going with someone like Phillips. The Cowboys have a young group of corners, but right now that bunch has more potential than production. If guys like Kelvin Joseph, Nashon Wright and DaRon Bland don't show the kind of progress that inspires confidence in their ability to latch on to a starting role in the near-future, I could see them looking for a top-end talent to pair with Trevon Diggs.

~Austin Smith, DraftTek Senior Analyst
21 Cincinnati
Antonio Johnson
Texas A&M
S
Reach/Value:
-2
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
200
Antonio Johnson NFL Draft photo
The Bengals are playing like a team that experienced too much success too fast. As a team, the mindset was that another trip at least to the AFC Championship was a birth right, not something you need to fight for. The team walked into a "no-Dak" Dallas game expecting an easy victory, only to find that the re-built, big money offensive line could not stop Micah Parsons or anyone else on the Cowboys' DL. Owner/GM Mike Brown is no doubt tearing his hair out as he watched his crown-jewel, QB Joe Burrow, get sacked 6 times against the Cowboys.

Through two games, Burrow has now been sacked a league-leading 13 times, with a second-worst 34 pressures.

The Bengals' top 2023 Draft need currently projects as Offensive Line Coach to get the most out of their free agents. All kidding aside, we're still thinking that Safety tops the list of draft needs with the potential free agent departures of Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates, but the play of the OL means that an upgrade at offensive tackle is also in play - looking at you La'el Collins. The Bengals next two games are against the Jets and Dolphins. Not easy opponents, but neither has the elite pass-rush talent that Joe Burrow faced in Week's 1 and 2. We certainly hope to see Burrow's time in pocket improve, and sacks/pressures regress back to the norm.
22 Miami (Trade)
Noah Sewell
Oregon
ILB
Reach/Value:
+6
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
251
Noah Sewell NFL Draft photo
I'm picking up good vibrations. It's hot in Miami and the Dolphins have started the season on fire. Mike McDaniel, in beating Belichick and Harbaugh, could not have asked for a better start to his first head coaching campaign. Unlike last year, Tua has the full backing of his coach and he looks like a new man. Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill might just be the best receiving duo in the league, so no wonder Tua is oozing confidence. Tua hasn't been perfect so far, and his lack of arm strength is obvious, but he leads the league in passing yards. For now, we just need to enjoy the feeling of being good.

The offensive line has improved although it remains a weakness. Austin Jackson landing on IR won't be the worst news we get all season. Connor Williams has been a pleasant surprise at OC. The run game will be fine in games where we aren't down by 21 points in the 4th quarter.

However good Miami look offensively, The Bills have looked better and remain the team to beat in the AFC East. The Fins' defense has struggled to stop Josh Allen since he arrived in the league. The defense has not found the form yet this year that highlighted the back end of last season. The tackling has been poor and the linebacking group needs to be better.

- David Payne, Dolphins Analyst

Please visit our Dolphins Team Page where you can see all the team's picks in the 7-round mock and more.
23 Baltimore
Zach Harrison
Ohio State
EDGE
Reach/Value:
-3
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
272
Zach Harrison NFL Draft photo
The Ravens will be sick at losing a game they'd already won. Coach Harbaugh will rally the troops for forthcoming battles, but the Miami game highlighted the good and bad of this team. The good news is there is plenty of good, especially on offense. An improved passing game, with the constant threat Lamar poses as a runner, will only be better once Ronnie Stanley and J.K. Dobbins return. Dobbins return can't come quickly enough with Kenyan Drake and Mike Davis only managing 54 yards on 24 carries through two weeks.

The good, defensively, comes in the form of Marcus Williams. Williams has all three of The Ravens' interceptions. Interceptions are nice, but the secondary has been poor and must improve. Veteran EDGE Justin Houston has two sacks, but the pass rush also needs to be more effective. Jason Pierre-Paul is visiting, as he did in June, and should get a contract this time. Blake Martinez' visit signals that Harbaugh is not happy with the efforts of the linebackers thus far.

More good news, the Bengals, Browns, and Steelers haven't been great. The Bengals should get better, but the Browns might not improve until Deshaun Watson appears. Meanwhile the Steelers offense flounders. Given these woes, this division is Baltimore's for the taking.

- David Payne, DraftTek Senior Analyst

Please visit our Ravens Team Page where you can see all the team's picks in the 7-round mock and more.
24 Minnesota
Tanner McKee
Stanford
QB
Reach/Value:
-13
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
226
Tanner McKee NFL Draft photo
The Vikings season started very well with a very good win against the Packers. This caused the fanbase and some media types to get excited about the team's chances to really compete this year. The Purple Kool-Aid was very tasty after that win. But...that all went south in a hurry against the Eagles who really handled the Vikings.

Some would argue the loss was self-inflicted but when your high paid veteran Quarterback throws three interceptions, two of which were really awful decisions, the first week excitement got squashed completely. There are a lot of things to worry about and the QB position could be moving up the list quickly especially considering the cap hit and that Kirk Cousins has only one year left on his deal.

Tanner McKee is an older player after going on a two-year LDS mission in Brazil before arriving at Stanford. He is 6-foot-6 and 226 pounds and has a huge arm. PFF's Michael Renner even went as far to rank him as the No. 1 prospect in all of the Pac-12 regardless of position ahead of players like USC receiver Jordan Addison and Oregon linebacker Noah Sewell. He could be a sneaky good pick for the new regime in Minnesota to make next year and they would have the luxury of allowing him to sit for a year while Cousins plays out his deal.

Mark P, Vikings Analyst - DrafttekVikings@Gmail.com

Please visit our Vikings team page where you can see all the team's picks in the 7-round mock and more.


25 Green Bay
Broderick Jones
Georgia
OT
Reach/Value:
-13
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
315
Broderick Jones NFL Draft photo
After a disappointing showing in the season opener, the Packers got back on track with a 27-10 win over Chicago. They sit tied with every other team in the NFC North with a 1-1 record heading into Week 3. It's clear that Green Bay is a talented squad that's destined to go through some growing pains early in the season. The offense currently runs through the backfield, with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon combining for 60 of the team's 101 offensive touches. While the defense is allowing just 16.5 points/game, their inability to slow Justin Jefferson in Week 1 and David Montgomery in Week 2 shows that Joe Barry's unit has a lot to prove before their production lives up to their talent on paper.



David Bakhtiari's health is one of the biggest question marks looming in Green Bay. Bakhtiari still hasn't returned to action after a series of knee issues stemming from an ACL tear in December 2020. In his absence, Aaron Rodgers has the fifth-highest sack rate in the NFL this season at 10.6%. If the Packers are concerned about Bakhtiari's ability to return to full strength, Georgia LT Broderick Jones could be an interesting option in RD1. Jones, a Redshirt Sophomore and former five-star recruit, would be the fourth straight Bulldog taken in RD1 by GM Brian Gutekunst.

- James Siebers, Packers Analyst (Twitter@jsieb_)
26 Philadelphia
Brandon Joseph
Notre Dame
S
Reach/Value:
+2
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
192
Brandon Joseph NFL Draft photo
The Eagles defense was suffocating in week 2 against the Vikings. Pro Bowl CB Darius Slay held WR Justin Jefferson under 50 yards and picked off Kirk Cousins twice, Nickel CB Avonte Maddox added a third pick in that game and the other starting CB James Bradberry had an interception return for a TD in week 1 against the Lions.

But while the secondary is feasting, the numbers for the defensive line have had some trouble making in to the box score. While the D-line has been applying pressure throughout the first two weeks, the team has only recorded three sacks across two games and their big free agent addition EDGE Haason Reddick has yet to really make his presence felt.

While the sacks will likely come as the season wears on, it's worth wondering if the Eagles are eyeing RD 1 of the 2023 NFL draft to continue restocking their pass rush corps, or if a best player available strategy could lead them in another direction. Safety may not be a high priority for the 2023 NFL Draft, particularly if CJ Gardner-Johnson gets an extension, but adding another long, athletic Safety like Notre Dame's Brandon Joseph could make sense.
27 LA Chargers
Trenton Simpson
Clemson
OLB
Reach/Value:
+6
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
230
Trenton Simpson NFL Draft photo
While a disappointing loss to the Chiefs and a concerning rib injury to franchise QB Justin Herbert have Chargers fan blogs casting about for roster help, the team is not going to be adding quarterback talent in next year's draft. What they need instead is more speed and athletic talent on both sides of the ball as they continue building an elite roster. After three straight first-round picks devoted to the offense, the team would do well to invest in a defensive starter suited for holding back high-powered AFC West offenses.





Clemson's Trenton Simpson is widely viewed as one of the top two or three linebackers in this year's class. He is an outstanding pass rusher, capable in coverage and a solid sideline-to-sideline run defender. That all adds up to a big boost to the Chargers' ongoing defensive rebuild. See all the Chargers' selections at the Chargers Team Draft Page

--Jud Branam, Chargers Analys
28 Detroit (Trade)
Tony Grimes
North Carolina
CB
Reach/Value:
+3
Height:
6'1"
Weight:
195
Tony Grimes NFL Draft photo
While the Lions' defense is clearly not as bad as it was last year, it still needs some work. As Year 2 of the Brad Holmes/Dan Campbell era unfolds, the 35-PPG offense is clearly leading the team. A couple of highly drafted DTs are out with injuries that they should overcome, but there remains a shortage of top-level talent in the back seven. Linebacker is a need area that may be addressed via free agency, but CB Jeff Okudah needs a long-term running mate on the deep islands in Aaron Glenn's attacking defense.



Syracuse's Garrett Williams has strong press-coverage skills and is a solid tackler against the run. While his size and speed numbers do not overwhelm, he is a guy who just keeps making plays.

-- Jud Branam, Lions Analyst
29 Kansas City
Andre Carter II
Army
EDGE
Reach/Value:
-12
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
250
Andre Carter II NFL Draft photo
I'll be curious to see how the Chiefs handle the LB position the next four weeks with Willie Gay out of the lineup due to violating the NFL's personal conduct policy. The Chiefs will face the Colts, Buccaneers, Raiders, and the powerful-charging Bills during his suspension. The derailment came at the worse time for Gay, who, drafted in 2020, is eligible to negotiate a contract extension at the conclusion of this season. The Chiefs will look to rookie Leo Chenal and practice squad journeyman Elijah Lee to step up. Hey, we might even get to see rookie UDFA Jack Cochrane get some snaps!

A month from now, I may wish to re-evaluate my ranking of LB on our Chiefs Needs list for the 2023 draft. But, let's face it, each of the names listed above garners more fan interest than Ben Niemann, the previous backup support.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, I'm sticking with Edge as the priority need on the defense. Our main competition - the Chargers and the Bills - have already snagged the best free agent targets (Khalil Mack and Von Miller). The Chiefs now have the opportunity to establish the pace moving forward via the draft. It would not even surprise me if GM Brett Veach pulled a Mahomes-esque trade to move up and solidify the best Edge option for the future. We have the draft capital to do it!

~KCBudMan, Chiefs Analyst
30 Tampa Bay
Tyler Van Dyke
Miami (FL)
QB
Reach/Value:
+1
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
224
Tyler Van Dyke NFL Draft photo
Tom Brady apologized to the Microsoft Surface tablet after the Saints' win, stating that his action will "probably inspire another meme on Twitter". In searching for the best (meme), here are a few: Meme 1 and Meme 2. Despite the topical potential, as a whole I was rather disappointed with the creativity of Twitter users.

It's true that the Bucs were without their top offensive weapons (Jones, Godwin) against New Orleans in Week 2, but expectations for the Bucs offensively need to be scaled down with the weak offensive line, and the lack of a top TE relief valve for Brady. Fortunately, the defense is playing at a high level and that just may be enough to get the team home field advantage through the playoffs.

The Bucs will be needing a starting QB for the 2023 season. Finding one at the bottom of RD1 seems unlikely, though Aaron Rodgers (2005 Pick #24) and Lamar Jackson (2018 Pick #32) show that it can happen. A number of QBs in CFB are starting the season hot, but to be sure there are some names that currently inhabit the reaches of QB draft boards who will work their way into RD1 contention by the end of the season.
31 Buffalo
Jaquelin Roy
LSU
DL3T
Reach/Value:
-4
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
297
Jaquelin Roy NFL Draft photo
The Bills are good. This team has beaten the reigning Super Bowl champions and last year's top-seed in the AFC in the first two weeks of the season-and has done so in embarrassing fashion. In just three quarters Monday night, Josh Allen and Stephon Diggs connected on 12 of 14 targets for 148 yards and 3 TDs. Allen's 7 TD, 2 INT, 600+ yards through two games puts him right in the thick of things for MVP.

As I continue to repeat to all of my Bills brethren; I have zero worries about this season as long as Josh Allen stays healthy. Even without the emerging Gabe Davis, Allen did not even have to use his legs Monday to disassemble a good Titans defense.

Defensively, this unit was lacking two of its top-three DTs and lost two defensive backs during the game, yet they still stymied the Tennessee offense throughout. The scoring drive for the Titans was a bit concerning to start, but Leslie Frazier's adjustments from that point forward had Tannehill and Co. bottled up.

The Bills last 5 or 6 games have demonstrated that not only is the best offense in the league in Buffalo, NY, but that their defense has some teeth-even without their stars in the lineup. This is a fun team to watch, and as long as 17 stays healthy, it should remain that way for years to come.

-Kennedy Paynter, Senior Draft Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)

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O/A Rank Pac 12 Conference
Top-30 Players
Psn
12 Jordan Addison
USC
WR
17 Noah Sewell
Oregon
ILB
19 Clark Phillips III
Utah
CBN
29 Kyu Blu Kelly
Stanford
CB
60 Andrew Vorhees
USC
OG
67 Tanner McKee
Stanford
QB
87 Justin Flowe
Oregon
ILB
96 Jaxson Kirkland
Washington
OT
111 Dalton Kincaid
Utah
TE
127 Zach Charbonnet
UCLA
RB
140 Christian Gonzalez
Oregon
CB
147 Tuli Tuipulotu
USC
DL5T
175 Darius Muasau
UCLA
ILB
182 Tavion Thomas
Utah
RB
184 Zion Tupuola-Fetui
Washington
EDGE
192 Cameron Ward
Washington State
QB
196 Luke Musgrave
Oregon State
TE
199 Merlin Robertson
Arizona State
OLB
206 Brett Johnson
California
DL5T
213 Brant Kuithe
Utah
TE
229 Armani Marsh
Washington State
CBN
234 Christian Young
Arizona
S
239 Alex Forsyth
Oregon
OC
248 Azizi Hearn
UCLA
CB
249 T.J. Bass
Oregon
OG
267 Elijah Higgins
Stanford
WR
284 Avery Roberts
Oregon State
ILB
300 Jaydon Grant
Oregon State
S
302 Jake Bobo
UCLA
WR
312 Brett Neilon
USC
OC
Source Link:
Drafttek Player Rankings