2023 NFL Mock Draft

RD1 Picks 17-31


17 Pittsburgh
Kelee Ringo
Georgia
CB
Reach/Value:
+2
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
205
Kelee Ringo NFL Draft photo
The Steelers will have some holes to fill at CB this offseason. Levi Wallace is a decent starter on one side and is under contract. Cam Sutton, by far their best CB, is an unrestricted free agent. William Jackson, signed as a free agent flyer this year will likely be a cap casualty. The rest of the roster: Pierre, Witherspoon etc aren't more than developmental corners at this point. The team needs to add competition at this position whether or not they're able to hold onto Sutton.

Ringo is a very interesting prospect. He's an incredible Size/Speed/Weight athlete at 6-2, 215 running allegedly sub 4.4 40 times. On tape you can see his size as an asset jamming at the line and occasionally rushing the passer. He has the tools and experience to excel in a man-press scheme which the Steelers like to use. He has exceptional long speed to stay in phase even if he makes a mistake early in the route. As a larger corner, he doesn't have elite quickness but he's able to flip his hips quickly as receivers progress down the field. Playing for UGA he's got plenty of tape out there against top-flight competition. He doesn't get thrown at very much, but when he does he's combative at the catch point and shows good hands picking off underthrown balls. Ringo has an extraordinary ceiling and "coachable flaws" that can be addressed by the team.
18 Detroit
Trenton Simpson
Clemson
OLB
Reach/Value:
-2
Height:
####
Weight:
230
Trenton Simpson NFL Draft photo
The Lions' defense was atrocious in the early stages of the 2022 season, then it ticked up to slightly above average during the team's 8-2 run to a 9-8 finish. Nonetheless, Year 3 of the current rebuild is the perfect moment for defensive talent infusions at all three levels. The linebacking corps is a case in point. Led by veteran overachiever Alex Anzalone, the group has several try-hard guys and Malcolm Rodriguez, a great find in the sixth round last year. It has no stars.


Clemson's Trenton Simpson would bring a new vibe. He exudes athletic talent at all times, from his outstanding zone coverage to his 4.4 40 speed at a lean 240 pounds to his knack for getting to the passer via the edge rush. He's likely the only first-round LB in this year's draft, so lots of teams will have their sights on him come Draft Day. He brings a versatility and speed upgrade that will have his new NFL bosses drawing up schemes long before training camp.

--Jud Branam, Lions Analyst
19 Tampa Bay
Bijan Robinson
Texas
RB
Reach/Value:
+14
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
221
Bijan Robinson NFL Draft photo
It seems like Bucs' brass are still interested in bringing Tom Brady back for another year, hoping that the new and presumably (??) Brady-approved OC will seal the deal. Thing is, GM Licht and HC Bowles are currently in the process of interviewing OC candidates while the pickins are good. Meanwhile, Brady hasn't made any decisions about the 2023 season, this after seeming completely unwilling to absorb hits in the pocket as the 2022 season wound to an end.

Once again, all-elite Bijan Robinson drops to the Bucs at #19. And once again we have a tough time passing up this game-changer. All the teams picking above the Bucs have decent RB situations, at least when compared to gaping holes elsewhere. Those teams with dual RD1 picks (Eagles, Seahawks, Texans, Lions) would be the teams most likely to splurge on a "luxury" pick for the Texas stud, but none do so here.

The Bucs' 2023 roster has holes all over, but RB is as big a need as any on the roster. The Bucs' value versus need imbalance is off the charts with Robinson, and the pick is simply a lock - if he's available at #19 in April.

Bucs' Poll: Which answer best descibes your feel about Tom Brady?




20 Seattle
O'Cyrus Torrence
Florida
OG
Reach/Value:
-28
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
335
O'Cyrus Torrence NFL Draft photo
The Seahawks' offense carried the team in the 2022 season. The team ranked 12th in yards/game at 351.5. Running the ball, Seattle ranked 6th at 4.8 yards per attempt. Pass-pro was an issue for the offensive line - Geno Smith was sacked 46 times on the year.

On the surface, you'd expect GM John Schneider to double dip in order to bolster the porous defense, particularly with all the upcoming free agents. But the play on the interior offensive line warrants attention, one that can be fiixed immediately with the addition of the draft's top Guard in O'Cyrus Torrence. The team gets fine play from Damien Lewis on the left side, but 31 year-old Gabe Jackson may be over the hill. With a current $7.52M APY, Jackson's valuation for 2022 was just $1.05M. Further, both starters are free agents after the 2023 season, with key reserves Phil Haynes and Kyle Fuller gone this year.
21 LA Chargers
Devon Witherspoon
Illinois
CB
Reach/Value:
+0
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
180
Devon Witherspoon NFL Draft photo
Chargers team leadership have to be living a life of regret these days, and not just for giving every sage on Twitter the chance to say "Chargers Chargering" when the team hacked up a 27-point lead and lost their playoff game to Jacksonville. No, the part that really hurt was watching the Jags go into Kansas City to face off with the AFC-best Chiefs in a game the Chargers should have used as their yardstick.


Along with finding an upgrade from dismissed Offensive Coordinator Joe Lombardi, the Chargers' task list now tops out with upgrading their secondary to get some help for Asante Samuel Jr. and Derwin James. Unless JC Jackson makes an amazing recovery from a torn patella, that refurbishing should start at cornerback. Illinois CB Devon Witherspoon is one to build around, a big hitter, big talker and big-time cover man with a 91.0 PFF grade in pass coverage. If Witherspoon lasts this long in the draft, he could be a perfect balm for the battered psyches in the locker room of LA's other team.

See all the Chargers' selections at the Chargers Team Draft Page

--Jud Branam, Chargers Analyst
22 Baltimore
Clark Phillips III
Utah
CBN
Reach/Value:
+5
Height:
5'10"
Weight:
185
Clark Phillips III NFL Draft photo
The Ravens were inches away from causing a shock in Cincinnati. Tyler Huntley gave the Bengals all they could handle, but he'll wish his arms were a touch longer. Huntley had flashes, but doesn't seem a viable option if Lamar finds a way out of Baltimore. Lamar wants a fully-guaranteed contract and he'll be hurt by the suggestion that he didn't want to play when he could have. It's also likely that John Harbaugh and Eric DeCosta are losing patience with the agentless QB. We're a long way off knowing how this will shake out, but the Ravens will tag Lamar if a long-term deal can't be thrashed out.

If Lamar is back in 2023, he'll be playing under a new OC. Greg Roman was fired after a season where the offense noticeably regressed. Roman joined Jackson in 2019 when Lamar took over as the undoubted starter. Unfortunately, Roman's offense has slipped from being number one in points per game in 2019 to being 20th in 2022. Despite overseeing a potent ground game, Roman was never able to get anything going through the air.

The new OC, even with Rashod Bateman fully healthy, will need more playmakers at the receiver position. However, I think the Ravens will see greater first-round value in finding defensive playmakers. For me, there are 7-8 CBs that could be selected in RD1. The pre-draft process will provide more clarity around where the prospects might fall, but Baltimore stand to find a CB, to play alongside Marlon Humphrey, on April 27th. Utah's Clark Phillips III showcased his playmaking ability with 6 INT in 2022.

- David Payne, DraftTek Senior Analyst

Please visit our Ravens Team Page where you can see all the team's picks in the 7-round mock and more.
23 Minnesota
Anthony Richardson
Florida
QB
Reach/Value:
-13
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
236
Anthony Richardson NFL Draft photo
Since our last mock, the Vikings lost in the first round of the playoffs to the Giants in a very disappointing fashion. The defense was horrid! They let the Giants gain 431 yards including running 30 times for 142 yards. The offense was OK but could not come through in the 4th quarter and only managed to run 16 times for 61 yards.

As much as the Vikings need help on defense, Kirk Cousins' decision to throw a check down when it was 4th and 8 or the season is over shows that he just doesn't have "it". He is really good and when everything else around him is almost perfect he is one of the best passers in the NFL. Unfortunately, it will never be perfect and he simply must be able to buy time to make plays when things break down. The league is changing and Quarterbacks needs to have some mobility.

The Vikings restructured Cousins' deal last year and 2023 will be his last year under contract. It is the perfect time to take a gamble on a young QB who many believe possesses the highest upside. Anthony Richardson is a polarizing prospect in the NFL Draft community who has rare speed and athleticism for the QB position. By most accounts he needs to work on his accuracy and patience in the pocket. Some scouts believe he will need two years of development which could work very nicely for the Vikings since they have Kirk Cousins under contract for 2023 and could very well give him a couple of more seasons.

Mark P, Vikings Analyst - DrafttekVikings@Gmail.com

Please visit our Vikings team page where you can see all the team's picks in the 7-round mock and more.
24 Jacksonville
Luke Musgrave
Oregon State
TE
Reach/Value:
-21
Height:
6'6"
Weight:
252
Luke Musgrave NFL Draft photo
The Jaguars fine 2022 season came to an end in Kansas City. Coach-of-the-year candidate Doug Pederson will look to improve on the hot 5-game win bender that was the finish to the regular season. The team will add Calvin Ridley to the roster in 2023. The 2022 WR group (Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Marvin Jones and Jamal Agnew) progressed from ho-hum at the start of the season to above average at the end. The team loses Marvin Jones, but if Ridley can return to the Draftkings fantasy headliner that he was with Atlanta, the group stands to be ranked among the leagues best.


QB Trevor Lawrence will lobby hard to get a new contract for tight end Evan Engram, who became a favorite target of his as the season progressed. Including postseason, Engram hauled in 85 passes for 890 yards and 5 TDs, appearing in all 20 games. 43 of those catches (more than half) came in the team's final 7 games.

Yeah, so the team would love to get Engram back into the fold. Still, the team's other top-2 TEs also happen to be free agents, including pass-blocking specialist Dan Manhertz (79.8 PFF in PBLK) and Dan Arnold. This would leave just 2021 RD5 draftee Luke Farrell on the roster. Farrell hasn't made much of a dent in his career thus far.

An all-around receiving/blocking prospect, Luke Musgrave appeared on Bruce Feldman's "Freaks list" for 2022. Musgrave played just two games due to injury in 2022, had he played more he may very well be getting more RD1 buzz. Let's see how he performs at the upcoming Senior Bowl, and if Musgrave achieves his freak status at the Combine. Here's our Scouting Report on Luke Musgrave.



25 NY Giants
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Ohio State
WR
Reach/Value:
-1
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
198
Jaxon Smith-Njigba NFL Draft photo
One way or another, Daniel Jones will be the QB for the Giants for the 2023 season. Beyond that, well it's a little murkier.

That Jones did so well with the WR corps at his disposal is truly remarkable. Perhaps the team's best receiver, Sterling Shepard, will be a free agent when the new league year starts in March, as will Darius Slayton. Shepard has played only 10 games in the past 2 seasons. Still, GM Joe Shoen may lure wounded duck Shepard back into the fold on a cheapo 2-year deal.

The biggest blot on the Dave Gettleman era, $18M per annum Kenny Golladay, is probably too expensive to cut and will continue to be an eyesore on the roster for another year. Golladay sported a valuation of just $414K in the 2022 season, with 6 catches in 12 games played. This leaves the team with promising, but largely untested 2022 RD2 pick Wandale Robinson, who caught 23 balls before succumbing to a knee injury after just 6 games.

Do the Giants have an under-the-radar secret weapon at WR on the roster? Maybe so. GM Joe Shoen claimed the former Bills' RD6 draftee Isaiah Hodgins off of waiver in Novermber, only to see the former Oregon State star blossom as Daniel Jones' top target, catching 33 balls for 351 yards and 4 TDs in the regular season, only to blow up in the team's wild card win over Minnesota (8-105,1TD). Hodgins has been selected by PFF as the Giants' "secret superstar" for 2022.

More Alpha dog help is needed of course. We've come under fire for slotting the Giants with diminuative Josh Downs (5'10" 171) in recent mocks, readers prefering a big-bodied WR who will be the Giants' AJ Brown. I would counter that Downs caught 83 balls on 104 targets (79.8%), but also he led the 2023 WR Draft prospect group with a CTC (Contested Catch Rate) of 75% (12 of 16), showing he's got more Jack Russell Terrier DNA than Golden Retriever.

In this weeks mock, Ohio State's Jaxon Smith-Njigba falls to the team in perhaps a mild surprise. JSN's size (6'0" and 197) and 2021 season production is enough resume to trump a selection of Downs. Still, there will be future mocks where JSN will not be available. But the draft process is just beginning. Let's see what the Senior and Shrine Bowls bring to the table, there may be some new names to enter the RD1 conversation.
26 Dallas
Christian Gonzalez
Oregon
CB
Reach/Value:
-1
Height:
6'2"
Weight:
201
Christian Gonzalez NFL Draft photo
Many Cowboy fans will look at the disappointing loss to San Francisco and say that this pick must help improve an offense that simply didn't have enough playmakers in the end. Still, emotions won't be part of the decision-making process when it comes to the 26th selection this April. Sure, a speedy receiver that can make plays with the ball in his hands would be ideal, as would a big-play running back should Tony Pollard find a new home.

However, this defense has five starters heading to free agency, and guys like Jayron Kearse or Jourdan Lewis could become cap casualties as well. At the end of the day, Dallas' front-office trio of Jerry Jones, Stephen Jones and Will McClay need to do their best to add the best prospect possible, and if Gonzalez gets to this spot, I have a hard time believing he won't fit the bill. His combination of size, length and athleticism is special. His feet do need to get more active, and Gonzalez will need to learn to trust them more than his hands, but the tools are there to be a future star. ~Austin Smith, DraftTek Senior Analyst



27 Buffalo
Josh Downs
North Carolina
WR
Reach/Value:
-1
Height:
5'10"
Weight:
171
Josh Downs NFL Draft photo
Whelp. That sucked. I don't think any Bills fan, casual observer, or even sharp bettors for that matter, saw this thrashing coming. The Bengals exposed the Bills, and a 17-point victory doesn't even adequately tell the store here. The Bills seemed to lack the ferocity and confidence required to win Super Bowls. They looked like a team that was simply out of juice, a team that had been through the ringer; from Dawson Knox's brother's sudden death, to the third game of the season in extreme heat,to three games in 12 days because of blizzards, watching a teammate nearly die on the field, to barely escaping against a third-string quarterback in the Wild Card round...this team may have just run out of gas, and that's not even counting all of the significant injuries they faced.

Brandon Beane and Sean McDermott have tough questions to answer, and, for me, it starts with Ken Dorsey. When one compares Josh Allen to other elite quarterbacks, the argument for him simply HAS to include the use of his legs. While understandable in the regular season to keep 17 healthy, not weaponizing Josh in the run-game is inexcusable. Designed QB runs dictate game-flow and were the reason this team put up 30+ points with ease last December and January.

Roster-wise, the team will likely let Jordan Poyer walk in order to re-sign Tremaine Edmunds. Beane needs to beef-up (literally) the trenches on both sides of the ball and needs a consistent threat opposite a very frustrated Stef Diggs. The Bills certainly won't enter the 2023 season as Super Bowl favorites, and they actually prefer it that way.

-Kennedy Paynter, Senior Draft Analyst (@Kennedy_Paynter on Twitter)
28 Cincinnati
Antonio Johnson
Texas A&M
S
Reach/Value:
+10
Height:
6'3"
Weight:
200
Antonio Johnson NFL Draft photo
The Bengals shocked the NFL world with a 27-10 win in snowy Buffalo. The Bills had lost only 3 games all season by a total of 8 points. The Bills' offense ranked 4th in points scored and 4th in yards allowed. How is it that the Bengals rallied the troops, allowing the Bills only 10 points? Cinci quietly finished the 2022 regular season rather strongly, ranking 7th in yards allowed (335 ypg) anf 6th in points allowed(20.1 ppg). However the pass defense was the weakness, ranking 17th at 229 ypg allowed.

DC Lou Anarumo, the "mad scientist" per Ali Apple, dialed up a perfect game, getting outstading performances from average secondary players Apple, Mike Hilton and Cam Taylor Britt and keeping Josh Allen off balance all day.

With the offense playing among the best in the NFL - if not the best - defense will get the attention at the 2023 Draft. Both safeties Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates are free agents, in addition to CBs Apple and Tre Flowers. Our big board show a glut of fine safety and corner prospects at the backend of RD1. We've been primarily rolling with a safety as the top need going into 2023, and this week's mock is no different with Antonio Johnson.
29 Denver (Trade)
Broderick Jones
Georgia
OT
Reach/Value:
+5
Height:
6'4"
Weight:
315
Broderick Jones NFL Draft photo
I continue to mock the big Georgia lineman to the Broncos in this spot, as Jones has the kind of tools most teams yearn for at tackle. While Garett Bolles is expected to be ready for offseason training this spring, he's now missed time in each of the last three seasons, and will be 31 this May. Broderick Jones could handle duties at right tackle initially, while being Bolles' successor should his skills start to decline with age.

However, if Jones were to find a home before Denver's selection, one guy to keep an eye on would be Brian Branch. He continues to move up draft boards as a versatile defensive back that could play several different roles for the Broncos. With Kareem Jackson's contract up, Branch could jump into the soon-to-be 35 year old's vacant spot in the secondary.

~Austin Smith, DraftTek Senior Analyst
30 Kansas City
Isaiah Foskey
Notre Dame
EDGE
Reach/Value:
+1
Height:
6'5"
Weight:
260
Isaiah Foskey NFL Draft photo
Random thoughts:
  • 5 STRAIGHT!!! (AFC Championship games hosted in KC.)
  • Arden Key did it on purpose. (Watch his eyes!)
  • A one-legged Patrick Mahomes still beat Jag's verison of a Disney prince QB.
  • Sadly, he has yet to find a win against Cincy's Joe Cool... In head-to-head competition, Mahomes falls behind Burrow in every QB statistic with the exception of INTs -- the one stat you do not want. Burrow's TD/INT ratio: 8/1. Manhomes: 6/3. Burrow's QBR against the Chiefs is 120.99. Mahomes QBR is 96.84 against Bengals. (Henne-thing could happen!!!)
  • I admit that I was surprised to hear that Frank Clark has the fourth most sacks in NFL playoff history, tying Reggie White with 12.
  • Draftniks stand up! The Shrine (Feb.2) and Reeses (Feb.4) Senior Bowls are coming up!
  • Procrastinators in KC sit back down. The NFL Draft volunteer list is now full. (I missed the sign up too.)
  • The Chiefs have lots of draft capital to move up-and-down the board. (Do not count on them moving down.) I predict a big surprise!
  • One more (extremely random): Kadarius Toney's smile = insane Willem Dafoe smile . (Get out of my car!)

    ~KCBudMan, Chiefs Analyst
31 Philadelphia
Jalin Hyatt
Tennessee
WR
Reach/Value:
-6
Height:
6'0"
Weight:
185
Jalin Hyatt NFL Draft photo
Philadelphia already boasts one of the NFL's most dynamic receiving duos in AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. In fact, both went over 1000 yards this season (1496 for Brown and 1196 for Smith) and the pair accounted for 18 of the team's 25 receiving TDs. And with Quez Watkins as a solid WR3, the Eagles certainly don't "need" to spend a RD1 pick on the position, but they have positioned themselves to be able to take the best player available, Tennessee WR Jalin Hyatt.

Best known for his blazing speed Hyatt can offer instant returners as burned while learning to refine his route running under two of the league's best. Hyatt would be a dangerous addition to an already explosive offense.

Return to Round 1 Picks 1-16 Forward to Round 2 Forward to Round 3 Forward to Round 4/5 Forward to Round 6/7





O/A Rank Pac 12 Conference
Top-30 Players
Psn
15 Jordan Addison
USC
WR
16 Clark Phillips III
Utah
CBN
25 Christian Gonzalez
Oregon
CB
28 Noah Sewell
Oregon
ILB
42 Luke Musgrave
Oregon State
TE
58 Kyu Blu Kelly
Stanford
CB
61 Andrew Vorhees
USC
OG
64 Tuli Tuipulotu
USC
DL5T
65 Tanner McKee
Stanford
QB
67 Dalton Kincaid
Utah
TE
77 Zach Charbonnet
UCLA
RB
100 Jaxson Kirkland
Washington
OG
110 Daiyan Henley
Washington State
OLB
126 Braeden Daniels
Utah
OG
127 Mekhi Blackmon
USC
CB
140 Stephan Blaylock
UCLA
S
160 Jake Bobo
UCLA
WR
172 Jeremiah Martin
Washington
EDGE
173 T.J. Bass
Oregon
OT
178 Brett Neilon
USC
OC
194 Khoury Bethley
Arizona State
S
197 Alex Forsyth
Oregon
OC
203 Merlin Robertson
Arizona State
OLB
204 Elijah Higgins
Stanford
WR
211 Rejzohn Wright
Oregon State
CB
230 Henry Bainvalu
Washington
OG
232 Travis Dye
USC
RB
251 Michael Wilson
Stanford
WR
255 Christian Young
Arizona
S
256 Armani Marsh
Washington State
CBN
Source Link:
Drafttek Player Rankings